The props of the players can be useful in various ways, from their direct advantage (to the melody of cash and cold), to measuring the potential of a player to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also use our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money by betting on daily props for players.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the probabilities provided in FanDuel Sportsbook to find three points where it is possible to have a value on the statistics line, on the score or on the type of shot of a player.
Note that the betting lines and our game screenings may change during the day following the publication of this article.
James Harden, over 38.5 points
James Harden and the Houston Rockets are without Russell Westbrook tonight against the Atlanta Hawks, giving Harden the go-ahead to fully perform the show. He is averaging the best 38.4 NBA points per game and has just come out of his first 40 points double triple of the season. Against the 76ers of PhiladelphiaHarden scored 44 points, took 11 rebounds and delivered 11 assists, going 13 for 24 (54.2%) from the field, 6 out of 12 from deep (50%) and 12 to 12 perfect from the free throw line.
The Rockets lead the league in three-point attempts (44.3) per game, while Harden has attempted at least 10 three pointers in 9 of his last 10 games. The Hawks are ninth in three attempts per game (35.1), and both teams are top five in pace, with Houston second (105.9) and Atlanta fifth (105.4). harden he has passed 38.5 twice in his last three games, and in the end, with Westbrook out of this, you almost have to take Harden to beat his average per game.
Lonzo Ball, over 28.5 points + rebounds + assists
Lonzo Ball has released four games in a row of 20 or more points and recorded an almost double triple in his last game against Utah Jazz with 21 points, 8 rebounds and 7 assists. In the past four, he averaged 23.7 points, 8 assists and 6.5 rebounds, hitting the upper hand in all four games. In his last game against the Rockets, Ball recorded a triple double of 27-10-10 and reached seven three points in his career. This kicked off Ball’s stellar race with the pelicans, as he averaged 4.2 made three games since then, as well as shooting 53.6% off the field.
He has a hit with points, assists and rebounds combined in three of his last four games in total. He, along with the offense of the pelicans, is one of the most important topics in the whole league. In Ball’s last four starts, pelicans have averaged 120.7 points per game compared to the season’s average 112.8. The Chicago Bulls to rank ninth in allowed points (107.2) and will try to slow down the sixth fastest attack (105.3) in the championship. Our model throws Ball with 26.7 combined points, rebounds and assists – hitting only the bottom. Having said that, I like that your good play trait continues at home tonight.
LaMarcus Aldridge, over 1.5 made three
LaMarcus Aldridge and three pointers aren’t usually pronounced much in the same sentence, but what you’re about to read will surprise you if you’re not a fan of San Antonio Spurs. Aldridge is making 69.6% of his three pointers in the last five games, hitting 16 of the 23 treys. He has hit more than three points in his last three games in total, four of the last five and five of the last seven games. In the last five LAM road games, he has attempted 19 points in total three points and has hit two or more three in three of those competitions. He is making an average of 3.8 three-point attempts in the last five road games and 4.6 attempts in the last five in total.
This season, Aldridge has reached 45.9% in his career, with 2.2 attempts per game. He has warmed up in the last five games with an average of 19.4 points and 10 rebounds. He has attempted three (23) plus free throws (15) in the past five. The Celtics are ranked 18th in three points allowed per game (34.0) and 10th in percentage of three points (34.3%). Aldridge had his worst performance of the season in a defeat against the Celtics in San Antonio in November, scoring three points and taking four rebounds. That said, in his solo game in Boston last season, he scored 48 points and scored 13 rebounds in a win on March 24th. I am not saying he will replicate it, but I expect a great game from him, and our model equally predicts 19.9 points and 8.4 rebounds.