The shares seem ready to rebound from yesterday's technological confusion.
We can perhaps thank the President of the Federal Reserve of St. Louis, James Bullard, who said on Monday that interest rates in the United States could be too high due to trade tensions – something the financial markets have shouted about. Note, Tuesday Australia became the first central bank developed to cut rates in 2019, citing, yes, the jitters of global trade.
On our call of the day from the billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller, who is also quite convinced that the Fed will cut rates, perhaps even to zero. The famous manager says he bought Treasury bonds and appears to be preaching caution to stock investors, amid threats of trade war.
"When the Trump tweet came out, I went from 93% invested in the net flat and bought a lot of Treasuries," Druckenmiller told Scott Bessent, founder and chief investment officer of Key Square Capital Management at Economic. New York Club.
He was referring to the May 6th tweet of President Donald Trump that threatened Chinese tariffs. It sparked an investor move to sell shares and pour money into the perceived security of government bonds. The tension between China and the United States has worsened from that tweet, among the fears of a full-scale trade war could trigger an American recession, with the recent tariff threat from Trump against Mexico that does not help.
Druckenmiller said he was taken aback by the Trump tweet because he hadn't thought the Chinese trade deal would explode. He said he moved his investments a month ago because he doesn't "want to play in this environment," saying investors need to wait for better opportunities.
The money manager spent years managing a billionaire investor and philanthropist George Soros. He left to focus on his own investment company Duquesne Capital, which reportedly never had a year at a loss and returned 30% annually until its closure in 2010.
"So I think if you are sure of your long-term vision and ability to make money, this is not a great environment to go and bet on the ranch. Not short, not long," Druckenmiller said. It is known for using a downward-looking investment style that involves trading very bullish or very bearish positions based on macroeconomic trends, which is clearly finding it difficult even these days.
"I can no longer do 30% a year and I don't even charge taxes. It's a depressing environment," he said.
This partly explains why he looked for some security in the bonds. He said that if an investor believes that the US economy will deteriorate, the Treasuries will be "the best game in town", while "the gold is not bad". Druckenmiller thinks that the Fed could reduce interest rates to zero in the 18 months and maybe even 50 to 100 basis points in the next year.
It is not at all down on all stocks, however, stating that companies providing goods and services need investors in good times and bad times, known as "secular growth companies" can do well in a nominal environment of growth of 1% "and are a good bet. He once again expressed his passion for cloud-based corporations.
It also owns Chinese Alibaba technology groups
BABA, + 0.44%
and Ping An insurer
the companies he says are fueled by internal growth.
Druckenmiller has also found the time to launch an arrow to the US government, among the signs that big technology companies are now on its successful list. As explained by the billionaire investor, the future of an economic war with China will be fought with artificial intelligence and the United States should be of assistance, not to damage related companies.
He said China began to relax in the private sector last fall and strongly supported its technology sector. "What are we doing? Oh, we're saving, steel, coal, aluminum. What are we doing with our leading technology companies? We're throwing sand into the gears and making their lives miserable."
You can watch the full interview with Druckenmiller here.
YMM19, + 0.69%
S & P 500
ESM19, + 0.68%
NQM19, + 0.73%
futures are moving higher. This is after the Nasdaq
finished in the correction territory on Monday.
The yield of the 10-year Treasury note
TMUBMUSD10Y, + 2.29%
it grew to 2.10%, while gold
is higher and the dollar
DXY, + 0.14%
it is constant. Oil
looks ready for another losing day.
SXXP, + 0.54%
are on the rise, but Asia has largely fallen, with Chinese stocks
off almost 1%. Australia's inventories increased slightly after the central bank rate cut in almost three years.
now in the sights of the US government, the question is: what is the impact for consumers?
The Trump administration claims that China's officials are misrepresenting why the trade negotiations have stalled between the two countries. Meanwhile, Chipotle restaurant chain
he says that burrito prices could rise if the US threatens to raise tariffs on Mexico.
The factory orders, which measure the health of the manufacturing sector, will arrive after the opening of the market, but otherwise it is silent in terms of data for Tuesday. Have a look at our preview which includes a look at the data for upcoming Friday jobs.
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