What you should know
- More than 27,000 lives have been lost to date. New York alone has reported 18,321 deaths, although the actual number is probably higher; the state overshadowed 300.00 confirmed cases Thursday
- To help protect essential workers, New York subways will close between 1 a.m. and 5 a.m. every night to fully disinfect
- New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy says his closing order will remain in effect indefinitely throughout the state; reported a new high in single-day deaths Thursday (460), but has seen progress on key metrics
NEW YORK – New York reported the lowest number of fatalities in a single day on Thursday, while New Jersey reported its highest one-day high in the crisis, a reflection of the two worst-affected states battling different peaks of a sometimes unpredictable virus curve.
Governor Andrew Cuomo and Governor Phil Murphy have been at the forefront of the national war against COVID-19. They have preached social distancing more sharply than anyone else in the United States; Both have been to Washington, D.C., to fight for more testing and financial aid for their states. They have seen progress and setbacks.
The two states have lost more than 25,000 people (18,321 in New York, 7,228 in New Jersey) together, although the governors acknowledge that the actual number is likely to be higher. New York City is home to the two counties, Queens and Brooklyn, which report more deaths than any in the United States. If the city’s 5,302 “probable” deaths were included in the official figure, the deaths in the two states would exceed 30,000.
The virus is still killing someone in the tri-state area every 2 minutes. However, as the governors present their plans for reopening, there have been key signs of progress. New York State is averaging less than 1,000 new hospitalizations daily for the first time in a month. The USNS Comfort has left New York City; the US army leaves the Javits Center. Cuomo says the Javits will be converted from a military operation to a state-run temporary medical facility.
New Jersey had been reporting slower and lower infection rates in hospitalizations; Those numbers saw a rebound in recent days. But the state reported its lowest number of people with respirators since April 4 on Thursday. Death is a lagging indicator. As the New York curve showed, once the number of critically ill patients begins to decline consistently, daily deaths also begin to decrease.
It is a dying wait. The whole process has been agonizing for millions of people, and while tens of thousands cry, millions are eager to move on.
Next weekend, with temperatures of 70 degrees and partly sunny skies, may be the first true test of the commitment of residents of three states to social distancing, as officials reported some “good news” on the virus front. . New Jersey’s golf courses and state parks will reopen this weekend. Facial coatings are recommended, but not mandatory. Capacity is still limited in state parks.
Westchester County, New York is opening two more golf courses and is slated to restart its Sunday bike program. In New York City, Mayor Bill de Blasio says 1,000 non-New York police social distancing employees will be out to reinforce the orientation. The city plans to distribute 100,000 free skins in parks, with more on the way.
Connecticut has been the least affected of the three states, reporting 2,257 deaths to date and far fewer total positive cases. The widely seen IHME model places it far behind New York and New Jersey on the virus’s overall curve; He says Connecticut may try to relax the restrictions after June 21, beyond the more recently established May 29 date for the other two states.
At the same time, Governor Ned Lamont revealed a plan to reopen the state, at least to a limited extent, before May 20, before the other governors. Like the other governors, he requires a 14-day decrease in COVID-19 hospitalizations before the plan can begin. The state reached Day 8 on that scale on Thursday.
It includes other criteria similar to those of the New York and New Jersey governors on testing, contact tracing, social distancing, and health system capacity.
If all goes well, restaurants (open-air only, no bar areas) may be reopening on May 20; all other stores, museums and zoos, hair and nail services, and business offices may reopen. Businesses would be encouraged to work from home, whenever possible. The personal care industry has been a controversial topic on the national front, given the proximity it requires.
The businesses listed by Lamont account for about 30 percent of Connecticut’s unemployment claims, according to Josh Geballe, the state’s director of operations. Nationwide, 30.3 million people have filed unemployment claims in the past six weeks. That’s more than the populations of the New York and Chicago metropolitan areas combined, and it is by far the worst series of layoffs on record. It adds up to almost one in five American workers.
Amid a cloud of uncertainty, major study offers real first hope for treatment
We don’t even know how many are actually infected. The tri-state area has reported more than 450,000 confirmed cases to date: 304,372 in New York, 118,652 in New Jersey, and 26,767 in Connecticut. The first antibody tests in New York indicate that the total of the real case could be 10 times greater. New York City alone has reported more than 167,000 cases; the data shows that it may have had as many as 2.1 million.
Cuomo has said that the crisis will not really “end” until there is a vaccine. More than 70 of them are in development worldwide, but the approval could be at least 12 to 18 months. Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s leading infectious disease expert, says the nation could suffer a “bad fall” if effective treatment does not emerge.
New York City subways will be closed for four hours overnight, every night, to allow the MTA to disinfect all the cars on every train in its fleet, Governor Andrew Cuomo announced Thursday. The move comes days after the governor described deteriorating traffic conditions as “disgusting” to essential workers who use the trains to commute to work every day.
The subways will be closed from 1 a.m. at 5 a.m. daily. The Metro-North and LIRR trains will also be disinfected daily, but without service interruption, Cuomo said. The bus service will continue 24/7.
When the crisis began, the MTA stepped up a plan to clean the subway and buses every 72 hours. That in itself was a monumental task. Now the agency plans to do that every 24 hours, and more thoroughly. The pandemic aggravated existing problems and gave rise to new ones; Cuomo said protecting essential workers is too important to risk additional infection.
Fortunately, Fauci, along with other health experts, seemed impressed by the findings of the latest Gilead Sciences clinical trial on Remdesivir, one of the most prominent experimental drugs for COVID-19. Preliminary results found that it shortened recovery time by an average of four days for hospitalized patients.
“You now have a drug that has been shown to work against the virus,” Fauci told The Associated Press. “Will it be an overwhelming cure? No, of course not.” But it can certainly help free hospital beds, he said.
No treatment has currently been approved to treat the virus, which has killed more than 230,000 people worldwide since its appearance late last year. The FDA is weighing whether to grant emergency use authorization to Remdesivir; That doesn’t mean the drug has been approved, but it does make it available for use.
Check out Cuomo’s detailed plan below:
The institute also revised its latest death projections slightly upward for the two states, but predicts that the latest deaths in each state will happen shortly before its previous execution. Now the IHME says that New York could lose up to 24,313 people until May 22; New Jersey could lose as many as 7,246 people through May 19.
New York alone has already lost more than 18,300 people. If New York City’s 5,295 probable deaths were included, the number would be nearly 24,000. Queens and Brooklyn have reported more deaths than any other county in the United States.
New Jersey has lost 7,228 people to the virus, while Connecticut has reported 2,168 deaths to date. Unlike its counterparts in the tri-state area, Connecticut saw its latest death projections decrease slightly over a longer period of time in the latest IHME model. The IHME now says Connecticut could lose as much as 3,315 through June 13.
Many states, including New York and New Jersey, have established mental health hotlines in the midst of the crisis. They urge anyone who has a hard time calling without hesitation. Get more direct information and find more ways to get help here.
The revised model delays Connecticut’s reopening timeline by almost a week for the second time in the same number of days. Connecticut, which reached its highest point in deaths and resources a little later than the other states, may try to reduce the restrictions after June 21, the IHME said on Wednesday.
Beyond the question of when we can safely reopen, there is a question that haunts minds on a daily basis: When will this end? We just don’t know, Cuomo says.
We don’t even know how many are actually infected. The tri-state area has reported nearly 445,000 confirmed cases to date: 304,372 in New York, 118,652 in New Jersey, and 26,767 in Connecticut. The first antibody tests in New York indicate that the total of the real case could be 10 times greater. New York City alone has reported more than 167,000 cases; the data shows that it may have had as many as 2.1 million.
Extended tests help isolate more positives. The city is conducting around 14,000 tests per week and expects to be able to perform up to 43,000 tests per week in mid-May. Cuomo says the state is running 30,000 tests a day. It may never be possible to examine all New Yorkers; they will try to reach as many as they can.
There are many things about the virus that no one knows or fully understands, not even the best health experts and scientists in the world. Except for a vaccine or effective treatments for the virus, Harvard researchers say social distancing may be necessary in 2022. More than 70 vaccines are being developed worldwide, but approval could take anywhere from 12 to 18 months if not longer. .
Gilead Sciences, one of the leaders on the experimental drug front, released some data on a remdesivir drug clinical trial on Wednesday. Fauci said the results showed “good news” and could change the level of care for COVID-19 patients. Northwell Health in New York says it has found some promising initial results in a trial that uses a common, inexpensive heartburn medication as a treatment along with other experimental medications. The final results are pending.