Since May 2020, the Ministry of Health began to talk about the possibility of a second wave of the coronavirus pandemic, which will join in Mexico with the flu season that will begin next October.
The Undersecretary of Prevention and Health Promotion, Hugo López-Gatell, announced that month that the hospitals would be full againTherefore, as every year, the cases of influenza will increase from October to January. Noted that
As influenza, it is a disease caused by a different virus, but the transmission mechanism and the manifestation is very similar to COVID-19. With much certainty we are going to have flu season.
He assured during an interview with Millennium than although the exact start date is not known, this It is presented every year in the middle of October, which is when an increase in cases begins to be registered.
It has been reported that the peak of cases of this disease occurs between November and January, after which the epidemic begins to decline.
The prediction is that, at the same time, we could, after these weeks of reduction, have a rebound, a regrowth, as is happening in European countries, of COVID-19 cases.
About the probability that a person will contract coronavirus and influenza at the same time is quite low. Journalist Alejandro Dominguez questioned the undersecretary on whether Mexico has the capacity to deal with the coronavirus pandemic and the cases of influenza that occur at the end of 2020.
He stressed that despite the fact that there is a continuity plan to attend to the pandemic, the hospitals will be filled again when the two diseases are present in the country.
We are going to have full hospitals again, it will be a major difficulty to provide care
The undersecretary assured that the federal government made preparations for this scenario. One of them was the hospital reconversion for COVID-19 at the most intense moment of the pandemic.
“The influenza vaccine is not as effective as it is thought”
On the other hand, López-Gatell mentioned that a video of Mexican doctors and specialists circulated on social networks inviting the population to get vaccinated against influenza.
He pointed out to the Mexican media that it is true that this vaccine reduces the burden on the health system, but assured that “The influenza vaccine is not as effective as it is thought.”
Indicated that this It is not like most childhood vaccines that have efficacy of 75 to 95%, because the effectiveness in the case of influenza is less than 40%, which means that out of every 10 people with the infection or who were exposed to the virus, only four cases would be prevented.
In this sense, he highlighted that The vaccine is not recommended for universal use, it is only indicated for people at risk of complications. The call for a generalized vaccination I qualify, in that sense, as “an important disturbance to public health”
The argument for this statement is based on the fact that young and healthy people are the ones who are more informed and would demand in health centers to be vaccinated. “What they do is they take away the opportunity for prevention from those who really need it, who are people over 60, under 5, ill or chronically ill “.
He was questioned by Domínguez about the arrival of the influenza vaccine, because some doctors in the country have criticized that September would be reached without it.
He asked the general population to find out about the issues before presenting any sign. “Two weeks ago, not only did the vaccine arrive, but the vaccine was released. Six weeks ago, like any other product, it has to go through a strict sanitary verification process to know that it is safe and harmless ”, she stressed.