According to new calculations, the car toll planned in Germany from autumn 2020 could turn into a negative business. “A deficit of 10 to 155 million euros in the first years of introduction is likely,” it says an opinion of the Forum Ecological Social Market Economy (FÖS) for the Greens parliamentary group, which is the Tagesspiegel exclusive.
The reason lies mainly in changes to the original concept. It is to be expected that the multi-adjusted tariffs for short-term vignettes would lead to higher revenues for foreign cars, but the additional relief of Euro 6 cars via the motor vehicle tax would reduce the actual net revenue. This could then lead to a deficit during operation. In addition, the effects of modal shift and economic damage would have to be taken into account more effectively through less border traffic.
The Federal Ministry of Transport, on the other hand, assumes a surplus of just under 500 million euros per year, which should then be available for investment in transport routes. “There is no deficit,” said a spokeswoman for Transport Minister Andreas Scheuer (CSU). The ministry expects 846 million euros in revenue from foreign vehicles – less about 247 million euros in system costs and another 110 million euros for additional tax rebates for greener Euro 6 vehicles.
The car toll is a prestige project of the CSU. It should be cashed on federal highways and highways. Domestic motorists should be completely relieved in return for toll payments by lowering the car tax.
The European Court of Justice (ECJ) will make its final judgment on the German car toll on 18 June – Austria had complained after the EU Commission had given up the resistance. Austria argues that the so-called infrastructure tax discriminates against foreign drivers unlawfully EU law, because domestic car owners are fully relieved of the car tax. The FÖS has long been a critic of the toll, the warning of a minus business share but other experts.
The green traffic expert Stephan Kühn and the budgetary spokesman of the Green Group, Sven-Christian Kindler, criticized that it was noticeable that the system costs and the rising costs of the Euro 6 relief by the Federal Ministry of Transport with constantly new numbers to the expected vignette purchases compensated by persons from abroad. In 2015, the Ministry had assumed 8.1 million annual vignettes and 15.8 million 10-day vignettes (totaling 23.9 million). In the meantime, one calculates there with 31,2 million vignettes sold – the yearly vignette is to cost up to 130 euro. The preparation of the toll cost so far about 128 million euros. “Scheuer pays off the world nicely that it just crashes: The Ministry of Transport is styling with every new forecast, the number of vignette sales,” criticized Kindler and Kühn. Controversial is also the award of the toll collection and control to a consortium of the concert ticket seller CTS Eventim and the Austrian toll system operator Kapsch TrafficCom.