News Predictive models through mid-June project more than 113,000 coronavirus...

Predictive models through mid-June project more than 113,000 coronavirus deaths in the United States

A New York police officer in Central Park (Reuters)

The United States will surpass 113,000 deaths caused by the new coronavirus in mid-June, according to an average of predictive models released this Tuesday, which reaffirms the power as the most affected nation in the world by the pandemic.

The country registers more than 1.5 million confirmed infections with COVID-19 and 91,845 deaths as of Tuesday, but a compiled projection of nine models of institutions that try to predict the behavior of the virus and the effect of the authorities’ measures foresees that approximately 22,000 people will die from the disease in the next 25 days.

“The new forecast for cumulative deaths in the United States for June 13 it is approximately 113,000, with a 10% chance of seeing fewer than 107,000 deaths and a 10% chance of seeing more than 121,000, ”the University of Massachusetts Forecast Center COVID-19 said on its website.

The median forecast is 113,364 deaths as of June 13.

By June 20, with a greater margin of error, the bleaker models indicate that the number would grow to 163,000 fatalities., about double the number for mid-May.

Projections occur as most states in the United States are moving at different speeds towards the lack of confidence and the reopening of their economies.

A protester calls for the reopening of stores in Los Angeles, California (Reuters)

A protester calls for the reopening of stores in Los Angeles, California (Reuters)

In April, the Donald Trump administration published guidelines for approaching the reopening in phases that included criteria for individual states to comply before returning to normal, including a downward trajectory of new cases over a 14-day period. But several states are accused of initiating misconduct without meeting the criteria set by the government.

Two weeks ago, Trump said the country will lose between “75,800 and 100,000 people.” On April 10, he predicted that virus deaths in the United States would be “substantially below the 100,000 figure,” and perhaps even as low as half that prediction.

The new coronavirus has already killed more than 320,000 people and has infected nearly 4.9 million worldwide since it emerged in Wuhan, China, late last year.

(With information from AFP)

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