Research and Development Survey “Kompas”: The electability of Ganjar and Prabowo is slightly different among female voters

JAKARTA, KOMPAS.com – The electability of the PDI-P presidential candidate, Ganjar Pranowo, is slightly superior among female voters, compared to General Chair of the Gerindra Party, Prabowo Subianto.

The results of the Kompas Research and Development survey on April 29-May 10 2023 show that 20.8 percent of female voters will choose Ganjar as a presidential candidate if general elections are held during the survey.

“Despite experiencing a slight decline, in the group of female voters, Ganjar Pranowo is still in the top position with 20.8 percent electability. This figure has decreased by 0.3 percent from the January 2023 survey,” wrote Kompas Research and Development, quoted from the Thursday edition of Kompas Daily (25 /5/2023).

The decline in the electability of Ganjar among female voters has resulted in the difference in the electability rate between the governor of Central Java and Prabowo being narrowly adrift or still within the margin of error of approximately 2.83 percent.

Also read: Kompas R&D Survey: Head to Head Simulation Results for Presidential Candidates Prabowo, Ganjar, and Anies

Prabowo, who is in second place, has an electability of 19 percent among female voters.

In contrast to Ganjar, Prabowo’s electability was recorded to have increased by 4 percent from the previous 15 percent in the January 2023 survey.

“So there is only a 1.8 percent difference with Ganjar. In fact, in the January 2023 survey, the gap was still quite wide at 6.1 percent,” wrote Kompas Research and Development.

Meanwhile, the electability of the candidate for president from the Coalition for Change for the Association of Anies Baswedan among female voters also increased from 12.5 percent to 15 percent.

Also read: Kompas R&D Survey: Prabowo’s Electability is Highest in Generation Z

As for the other names surveyed, their electability was below 10 percent, namely Ridwan Kamil 7 percent; Sandiaga Uno 2.3 percent; Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 2 percent; other figures 5.3 percent. Meanwhile, 28.6 percent of respondents said they did not know.

The survey results also show that 33.8 percent of female voters can still change their choice or have the status of swing voters.

Meanwhile, 33.7 percent of respondents stated that their choice of presidential candidate was certain.

The Kompas R&D survey was conducted face-to-face on April 29-May 10 2023.

A total of 1,200 respondents were randomly selected using a stratified systematic sampling method in 38 provinces of Indonesia.

This survey has a 95 percent confidence level, with a margin of error of approximately 2.83 percent.

Also read: Kompas R&D Survey: Shifting Ganjar, Prabowo Returns to Top

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