Meng was due to appear in a Canadian court on Friday for a bail hearing, where the charges against her should be made public for the first time.
After that, Meng will probably "accept the extradition or decide to fight it," Serafini said. "If you fight, it could be a considerable amount of time before you set foot on US soil," he said. This phase of the trial would have taken place entirely in a Canadian court, Serafini said, "and the Canadian court would make a final decision".
During that time, Serafini said, "there will probably be steps by the Canadians to make sure they can not leave the country, but it is not likely to remain behind bars."
The extinction process of Meng will be separated from any accusation found in the United States, explained Serafini.
"Before she could conclude an agreement with US charges, she would have to face an American court," he said. Nonetheless, "this does not exclude the possibility of talks on the back channel between the United States and China regarding its case".
But even if China publicly protests Meng detention, in private, Beijing must decide whether to tie the fate of trade negotiations to the fate of a Chinese leader, Daly said.
"China may delay trade negotiations to express its disappointment, but it can not take this approach for long if it wants a solution," he said.
"See how Meng's story takes place in the Chinese press and on WeChat," he said, referring to the Chinese version of Twitter. "Beijing can hinder or nurture public opinion: if the Chinese propaganda organs present the story of Meng, Beijing is linking the arrest of Meng and the trade dispute." If the response of Chinese media and netizens is quiet, Beijing wants to handle the negotiations and the question of Huawei on separate tracks. "