Tribune. "Tick tock on the Brexit watch." Time is running out, the debate is entering a crucial phase, the masks are falling. On Tuesday, December 4, members of the House of Commons began revising the draft Brexit agreement negotiated by Prime Minister Theresa May with the European Union (EU). The debates are lively, dramatic, precise, harsh. The vote that the media call "The vote of the last judgment" it will take place on December 11th. Parliament is trying to regain control of Brexit against the government without knowing how to get out of the situation created by the referendum of 23 June 2016. Who exercises political authority? The citizens? Parliament? The government? Interest groups?
If Theresa May obtains the majority, the agreement will be validated by a European summit on the weekend of December 15th and the real negotiation, whose agreement gives only the main lines of principle, can begin … and for a long time. Mmyself May had to negotiate with Michel Barnier and the EU, of course. But the hardest thing was to negotiate with his party, first in his government – hence the departure of many Brexit ministers, like Boris Johnson or David Davies, and those who wanted to stay closer to the European Union. He also had to negotiate with the Northern Ireland unionists (DUP), who do not want a differentiated status, while the Scots, the Welsh or the mayor of London, in favor of maintenance in the EU, continue to demand it. to.
To date, Theresa May does not have a majority in Parliament for this agreement, all else. The Labor Party, the DUP, the Scottish separatists, the Liberal Democrats and all the small parties represented are against it. Above all, between 50 and 100 conservative MPs have expressed their opposition – the harshest brexits that denounce the status of a vassal state or a colony of the European Union proposed by the Brexit agreement and the risk of isolation in a Customs union without autonomy as the negotiations drag on.
Return to the trading table
If Mmyself May does not get the majority, the United Kingdom will enter a major political and institutional crisis and nobody knows what will come out of it. The current episode is played in Parliament. Most MPs absolutely want to avoid radical Brexit … but nobody agrees on how to avoid it. Several votes in the House of Commons gave parliamentarians greater influence on the final resolution. Parliament is affirming itself against the government with parliamentarians of all nationalities who are moving away from their leader, both inside the Conservative party and inside the Labor party, to seek an agreement but not what has been negotiated. Others prefer a referendum.