- Apart from communicating the arrival of the 4th wave, the government is not taking action against it
- At the same time, the Hungarian Academy of Sciences has already made proposals to the table against the further intensification of the epidemic
- In Denmark, they start leaning back at over 80 percent vaccination, we are very far from that
- An epidemic summary of the news of the last few days
The epidemic in Hungary is still at a stage when data is deteriorating week by week, but not very rudely.
At the same time, it is known that it is only a matter of time before the delta variant will leave a strong mark on the Hungarian official epidemic curve.
Since mid-July, the number of new infections has been increasing week by week. 37 new infections were reported on Friday 8 weeks ago, most 189-et.
The MTA signaled to the government
The government also knows and communicates that the fourth wave is coming, but is not taking concrete action against it. At the same time, he is the president of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences came up with a package of proposals. Among other things, it is recommended that the state provide antibody testing for those at risk and the elderly. (Tamás Freund did not specifically mention the Sinopharm vaccine, but for now it can be stated with certainty on the basis of several teststo some elderly people does not produce enough antibodies.)
Further proposals of the President of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences:
- compulsory vaccination registration should be abolished because it greatly reduces the willingness to vaccinate
- vaccinations should be delivered to isolated, often impoverished, settlements
- studies would be needed to better understand why many people reject the vaccine so that
- requiring a certificate of protection and mask to be attended, especially in enclosed events, to accommodate larger crowds or highly sensitive populations, as justified by the epidemic situation (this is already a common practice in several European countries, including visits to restaurants).
Let’s look in the lab
The 189 new infections reported today are still not a large number in themselves, but it is worth looking into Austria, which Viktor Orbán once considered a laboratory. To be sure, they are still doing something well. They also weathered the third wave of Hungary much better, but overall they have been more effective in protecting people’s lives so far. So far, we have a total of one million people 3 111 victims of the epidemic, the same figure in Austria: 1 195.
They are better at vaccinations than we are. If not by orders of magnitude, but not by a hair. According to the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), the population over 18 years of age in Austria 71,9 percent received at least one vaccine (in our case 67,5), two vaccines or Janssen for adult Austrians 68,1 percent are vaccinated (Hungarian data 64,9).
In comparison, the daily number of infections has jumped quite a bit in recent weeks in Austria. On 25 July, a further 315 new cases were reported, today 1,602. There, however, there is traditionally much more testing, with around 70,000 PCR tests a day. At home, 18,000 outliers were reported on Thursday, and 10,000 were reported on Friday.
The horror of the start of the school year
It can also be seen in the case of the Austrians, about which there is no data on the coronavirus website at all, that the epidemic is now spreading mostly among young people:
Which is an important aspect because of starting school. In Austria they decidedthat teachers and students will be compulsorily tested for coronavirus three times a week during the first three weeks of the new school year, even if they are vaccinated. Antigen rapid tests were introduced in schools last year, but now one of the mandatory three screening tests per week will be performed by PCR testing.
We don’t have any such testing, we haven’t had it before. You won’t even have to wear a mask in schools and kindergartens, body temperature measurement is also stopped, it didn’t make much sense in this form anyway. (Another example: a in the Czechs from September, students in Czech primary and secondary schools will be able to study in the classrooms without a protective mask, while everyone in the public spaces, gym and dining rooms will be required to wear a protective mask. Those who have not been vaccinated or have not undergone covidone in the last six months must be tested at the beginning of the school year. Anyone who rejects this must wear a mask at school at all times and may not actively participate in gymnastics and singing classes. In Romania, we also need a mask in schools, in fact, instead of textile masks, they require a doctor in the new school year because it protects better.)
At home, so much has happened that schools have organized central vaccinations for the start of the school year, for this, 48,000 students were registered by their parents. A total of 171,000 people aged 12-17 have been vaccinated so far, with the addition of 48,000 first-time vaccine next week. After a total of approx. There are 590,000 in the 12-17 age group, 37 percent of whom will be vaccinated in a good case.
For now, stagnant hospital data
The number of coronavirus infections in hospitals in Hungary is increasing or decreasing, ranging from 73 to 93 for weeks. In Austria, the number of covid infections treated in hospital has also increased significantly in the past month. On July 24, 107 were in hospital (27 intensively), now 420, 88 of them intensively. Vaccinations will almost certainly not set a record for the number of covids treated in hospital, but we can also expect a significant increase in the number of those infected and treated in hospital. (In several countries, the proportion of non-vaccinated people with hospitalized coronavirus infections is around 90 percent. According to U.S. data, the risk of unvaccinated people being hospitalized is 29 times higher than those vaccinated.)
The Danes leaned back at 80 percent
The Hungarian government says that the 4th wave is coming, but apart from this – and Viktor Orbán’s letter – he is not doing much to prepare the country for this. They are confident that the vaccination will be enough, the use of masks and the keeping of distances have been released. Moreover, it is no longer a requirement for events such as August 20th or the Eucharistic World Summit.
In Denmark, too, they trust the vaccine, their health minister the spread of the coronavirus is no longer officially considered a “threat to society”. But because the proportion of people vaccinated from 12 years old to the oldest is 80 percent. (For us, that rate is 66 percent.) Thus, from September 10, they will relax and gradually and partially remove the requirements for a certificate of protection for large-scale events and public venues such as concerts and nightclubs.
Croatians are also relaxing, at least so much so that from September 1, under certain conditions, the interiors of cafes in Croatia can be opened. There, only half of the adult population is vaccinated. Dance nightclubs and nightclubs remain closed.
The first two don’t go anymore, but here’s the third
There is a consensus that the proportion of those vaccinated should be further increased. This does not seem to be a substantive step on the part of the government.
However, the introduction of a third vaccine may help alleviate wave 4. We are in a special situation because there are strong indications that the elderly vaccinated with Sinopharm do not develop sufficient antibody protection. Similarly, countries in a special situation are conducting investigations into this, the data of which are also public. With us, even if there are such studies, we know nothing about it. In Bahrain, where Sinopharm and Sputnik are used in addition to Pfizer, a study analyzing the effectiveness of vaccines found that Pfizer works spectacularly better than Sinopharm.
In the case of the elderly vaccinated with Chinese at home – there are more than half a million – the third vaccination is definitely justified. So far, 266,000 have taken the third vaccine, not knowing how old they were and why they were vaccinated.
But it may not only be important for those vaccinated with Sinopharm. Israeli data show that the protection provided by Pfizer weakens over time, especially against the delta, but the third dose significantly restores protection.
However, the third vaccine is still a luxury in few countries, In Italy, too, there is not enough vaccine for him yet.
And not the first in Africa yet. Although the number of first vaccinations on the continent tripled last week, as far as can be predicted, only ten percent of those living in Africa will remain protected by the end of September. Tedros Adhanom Gebreesus, director general of the WHO, recently called it “unscrupulous” that in some countries the booster vaccine is already being given when so many people are still vulnerable to the disease. He also expressed his concerns about this in Budapest, standing next to Péter Szijjártó.