The Tennessee Titans are watching the NFL playoffs photos, but should not be discounted in this week's match against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags have not scored an offensive touchdown in any of the last two contests between these two clubs and Jacksonville is not the brave defensive we're used to seeing, despite a shutout against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday.
Also, Thursday night's games are historically difficult in teams like Jacksonville. From 2016, the road team is 17-33 in these games, and this includes a 3-12 record in 2018.
Tennessee Titans, 67% are likely to win
Teams used so far: saints, rams, vikings, jaguars, patriots, texans, foals, steelers, panthers, garments, crows, chargers and packers
Jacksonville has struggled offensively. The Jags total 1.4 points per unit (equal to the third worst in the NFL this season) with less than half of their opportunities in the red zone (48%) that turn into touchdowns. The problem is the lack of sustained pushes: the Jaguars are forced to make three-and-outs for a third of the time – due to the lack of a capable quarterback.
Blake Bortles, the starting quarterback for the first 11 games of the season, is ranked 25th in the ESPN Total Quarterback Rating metric, making it more valuable than just another seven passers-by. With their calculations, Bortles' performance (49.8 QBR) would have been enough to earn a record of 8-8 over a 16-game season. His replacement, Cody Kessler, is much worse: a QBR of 21.8 or a performance worthy of a 3-13 record.
Overall, the Jaguar crossing attack is scoring three points less per game than expected, after taking into account the downhill position, distance and field of each launch. Only the New York Jets, Arizona Cardinals and Buffalo Bills are worse, according to TruMedia.
The Jacksonville defense has no such problems – they are the fifth best unit of the 2018 NFL for Football Outsiders, which fits by program – and they lick their whiskers at the possibility of tackling an offensive line of Titans that has mixed some players trying to provide better protection for their quarterback, but the Tennessee pass lock unit is not as bad as it might appear on the card.
Yes, he has renounced the second largest number of bags this season (42, so as to allow the largest number of bags in a single season since the franchise moved to Nashville in 1997), but according to the Pro game cards Football Focus only 18 of these are the result of a poor and offensive line game. In fact, after adding hits and haste, the Titans offensive line produced an average amount of pressures (27% of passing snaps) in 2018.
This puts the rest of the bag in total on the shoulders of Marcus Mariota, however his performance against the Jaguars in particular is noteworthy. Tennessee is 5-2 against Jacksonville since he designed Mariota with the second overall choice in 2015, including three consecutive victories. And three of Mariota's six highest total run-offs came against the Jaguar defense.
"Super challenging," Jalen Ramsey said of Mariota's ability to climb. "You just have to cover it even longer – it's a bit like a scramble exercise, it will turn into a football pitch on the back with invented paths to try and open up and help their quarterback, then make it difficult. for us ".
In addition, the titans have some own pastime. The defensive tackle Jurrell Casey has 5.5 bags and 34 total pressures on the quarterback in 2018, with 33 team stops at or behind the scrimmage line. The second year linebacker Jayon Brown has six bags and 31 stops. Brown also had seven tackles against the Jaguars in week 3.
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