Excluding the undecided and those who do not intend to vote, 53 percent were in favor of Scottish independence. of those polled by the YouGov center, against 47 percent. This means an increase in the difference in favor of the supporters of secession by 4 percentage points. compared to the January poll (then 51:49), and at the same time their highest advantage in the history of the YouGov survey.
SNP argues that if it wins next year’s elections to the Scottish parliament, it will have a mandate to demand the government in London to agree to a new independence referendum. According to the poll, 57 percent of the SNP plans to vote This would increase her ownership from the 63 seats she won in 2016 to 74. This would not only give her an absolute majority that she currently does not have, but also the largest number of seats she has ever won.
The failure of the London government to fight the pandemic
The increase in support for SNP and independence is due to the fact that, in the opinion of the Scots, their national government is much better coping with the coronavirus epidemic than the British. As much as 72 percent of those polled believe that the head of the Scottish government, Nicola Sturgeon, is doing well in this position, while 22% of the respondents are of the opposite opinion. Ruth Davidson, leader of the Scottish branch of the Conservative Party, which is the main opposition force in the Scottish Parliament, gained 43 percent. positive evaluations and 28 percent. negative, while the actions of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson are well assessed by only 20 percent. YouGov asked, while wrong – 74 percent.
In addition, 52 percent. The Scots believe their country is headed in the right direction, an increase of 20 percentage points. compared to the answer to the same question a year ago.
In Scotland, the previous COVID-19 death rate per 100,000 inhabitants is 45.6, and in England – 74.7. In Scotland, no new deaths have been recorded since 16 July.
In the autumn 2014 independence referendum, supporters of leaving Scotland as part of the United Kingdom won by 55:45. Boris Johnson does not want to agree to a new Scottish referendum, arguing that it will be possible when a new generation appears, because the current generation has already spoken out.
The YouGov study was conducted from August 6-10 on a representative sample of 1,142 adult Scottish residents.
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