Bisnis.comJAKARTA — Rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar it is estimated that it will fluctuate, but is at risk of closing lower in the range of Rp. 16,870-Rp. 16,920 in trading at the beginning of the week today, Monday (9/2/2026).
Based on Bloomberg data, the rupiah closed down 0.20% to Rp. 16,876 per US dollar on Friday (6/2/2026). At the same time, the US dollar index weakened 0.03% to the level of 97.85.
Commodity and Currency Observer Ibrahim Assuaibi explained that global sentiment came from US and Iranian officials who were scheduled to meet in Oman, after Washington deployed at least two naval fleets in the region.
Markets hope that talks between Tehran and Washington will help ease some tensions and prevent a wider war.
However, the US and Iran appeared to differ on the subject of the talks, with Iran rejecting US calls to discuss its missile arsenal and stating that discussions would be limited to discussing Tehran’s nuclear ambitions.
Iran is a major oil producer, and lies next to the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important shipping lanes for crude oil.
Additionally, Challenger layoffs data showed US companies cut headcount in January at the fastest pace since the Great Recession of 2009.
Other data showed a bigger-than-expected increase in weekly jobless claims, while job vacancy data for December also came in below expectations.
Domestically, sentiment came from the rating agency, Moody’s Ratings, which lowered Indonesia’s debt outlook or prediction rating from stable to negative, even though Indonesia’s debt rating was maintained at an investment grade level.
These changes reflect increasingly unpredictable policies, concerns about governance, and increased uncertainty that could impact investor confidence.
If this condition continues, Moody’s estimates that it will erode trust in the credibility of Indonesia’s long-established policies. Even so, Moody’s still maintains Indonesia’s rating at Baa2. This means that Indonesia is still classified as investment grade.
This downgrade in the rating adds to a series of warnings about increasing policy uncertainty and weakening government governance under the leadership of President Prabowo Subianto.
Moody’s also highlighted the challenges facing the Prabowo government in efforts to restore market confidence and prevent a massive sell-off in Indonesian assets.
In line with these sentiments, Ibrahim projects that for trading today, Monday (9/2/2026), the rupiah exchange rate will fluctuate with a tendency to weaken in the range of IDR 16,870 to IDR 16,920 per US dollar.
12:12 WIB
The Rupiah remains in the green zone
At 12.12 WIB, the rupiah remained in the green zone, strengthening 0.15% or 25 points to the level of IDR 16,852 per US dollar.
At the same time, the dollar index weakened 0.07% to 97.57.
09:07 WIB
The rupiah opened stronger
The rupiah opened stronger by 0.06% or 10 points to the level of IDR 16,866 per US dollar at 09.06 WIB.
At the same time, the dollar index was observed to weaken 0.07% to 97.57.
date:2026-02-09 05:14:00