San Francisco Temperature Forecast For October 13
San Francisco temperatures are projected to bottom out in the low-to-mid 50s °F on October 13, according to recent National Weather Service and model guidance cited by Polymarket. Clear skies, light variable winds, and typical marine-layer moderation combine to limit night-time radiational cooling across the city.
Historical climatology for the date sets an average low of 54.9 °F. Records show a low of only 48 °F, which limits the probability of extreme drops below 44 °F. Trader-implied odds track this tight baseline while incorporating forecast spread, pricing higher on 62 °F or warmer outcomes while mid-50s bins capture uncertainty around the exact overnight minimums.
Atmospheric Conditions And Market Pricing
No strong cold-air advection or offshore flow is expected to alter the weather pattern before resolution. Forecast models indicate steady marine influence keeping temperatures within established seasonal bounds.
Prediction markets reflect these steady conditions. Elevated pricing remains concentrated on bins capturing the mid-50s range alongside warmer tails, mirroring the tight spread of meteorological guidance.
Frequently Asked Questions About The San Francisco Weather Market
What is the historical average low temperature for San Francisco on October 13?
The historical average low for this date is 54.9 °F, according to climate records. The record low stands at 48 °F.
What meteorological factors are driving the October 13 forecast?
Clear skies, light variable winds, and standard marine-layer moderation are driving the forecast. These factors limit rapid radiational cooling overnight.
Are any extreme weather events expected to alter the temperature outcome?
No strong cold-air advection or offshore flow is expected to disrupt the pattern before the market resolves.
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