36 GPS Jamming Antennas in Kaliningrad Divert Cross-Border Drones
Thirty-six electronic warfare antennae now operate inside Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave, up from just three in early 2025, according to Darius Kuliesius, deputy head of Lithuania’s communications regulator. This heavy infrastructure expansion sits at the center of a weekend border incident where a stray drone crossed from Poland into Lithuania before detonating near a highway. Kuliesius described the interference as a “permanent, unending Russian provocation against European security” that has become systemic. Lithuania’s regulator estimated that these signals can reach across the Baltic Sea, most of Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and parts of Sweden, Finland, and Belarus.
The flying object entered Lithuanian airspace from the Polish border on October 18, according to LRT. Debris from the explosion struck the door of a moving civilian vehicle in the Pasvalys district near the Latvian frontier, though the driver sustained no injuries, Lithuanian officials reported. The vehicle was traveling from Biržai to Pasvalys when the driver heard the blast, Prime Minister Mindaugas Sinkevičius told reporters. Army personnel investigated the debris near Juodzionys village.
Poland Demands Answers as Investigators Track Trajectory
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced on Oct. 20 that Warsaw will seek a formal explanation from Kyiv regarding the drone’s flight path. Polish authorities have not yet confirmed whether the unmanned aircraft entered Poland’s national airspace before continuing north into Lithuania, as reported by The Kyiv Independent. Tusk stated that Poland does not permit operations over its territory without explicit state consent, regardless of who conducts them.

“We will investigate all circumstances. I count on the full cooperation of the Ukrainian side so that we can precisely explain what happened,” Tusk told a government meeting, according to RMF24. “Without emotion, without ill intentions.” Tusk added that he would discuss the matter with Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda in Warsaw to clarify the incident.
Kyiv Points to Russian Electronic Warfare Intereference
Ukrainian officials offered an apology for the incident, attributing the stray flight to Russian electronic interference that diverted the drone from its intended military target in Russia. Vilnius echoed that assessment, stating the aircraft was likely part of an operation targeting the St. Petersburg region before Russian signal jamming knocked it off course. Kyiv has previously denied using NATO airspace for attacks on Russia, though President Volodymyr Zelensky noted on Oct. 18 that relations with Poland had “indeed improved.”
“We regret the incident that occurred this morning in Lithuanian airspace, which may have resulted from Russian electronic warfare diverting drones during an operation against legitimate military targets in Russia,” Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Heorhii Tykhyi wrote on X.

NATO Scrambles Fighter Jets During Air Alert
The unidentified flying object prompted Lithuanian authorities to issue a red alert on Sunday morning, forcing the temporary closure of Kaunas airport near the country’s second-largest city, CNBC reported. Residents in northern and central Lithuania were told to seek shelter for about an hour. NATO air police fighters scrambled to intercept the object, but heavy cloud cover prevented pilots from making a visual identification before it disappeared from radar. Defense Minister Robertas Kaunas proposed a joint investigation with Poland.
Neighboring Latvia briefly issued a yellow air warning for the Bauska, Aizkraukle, and Ogre municipalities early Sunday morning over concerns the object might cross further north, according to the National Armed Forces reported by LSM. The warning was issued at 07:40 and withdrawn at 08:12. The alert was withdrawn within thirty minutes after the aircraft detonated itself in northern Lithuania.

Frequently Asked Questions About the Baltic Drone Incursion
How much has Russia increased its electronic jamming capability near the Baltic states?
Russia expanded its GPS spoofing network in the Kaliningrad exclave from three antennae in early 2025 to 36 active installations, according to Darius Kuliesius, deputy head of Lithuania’s communications regulator. Lithuania has warned that Russia can falsify GPS signals within a 450 km radius of the exclave.
Were any civilians injured when the drone exploded in Lithuania?
Debris from the October 18 explosion damaged the door of a personal car traveling between Biržai and Pasvalys, but the driver suffered no injuries, according to statements from Lithuanian authorities cited by LSM.
How is Lithuania planning to change its military engagement rules for future incursions?
Lithuanian Prime Minister Mindaugas Sinkevičius announced plans to consult with NATO within a month to ease interception rules, aiming to allow pilots to authorize strikes based solely on radar data rather than requiring visual contact, according to REFORM.news. This comes as Lithuania plans to ease rules governing the shooting down of drones.
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