US Economic Data, Trump & Midterms: Financial Week Preview

by Marcus Liu - Business Editor
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The attention of observers next week will be focused on the data on American jobs on Wednesday and on inflation in January on Friday on which the president Donald Trump a good part of the outcome of the November midterm elections is at stake. Consumer prices in the US are still high (they were at 2.7% in December 2025 on a yearly basis) and analysts expect them to fall slightly to +2.5% in January.

Also expected for the GDP of the fourth quarter of 2025 in‘Eurozone Friday and of Great Britain Thursday while consumer prices in China are expected to confirm ongoing deflation. We are also looking at early elections Japan tomorrow, where the ultra-conservative Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi aims to win by a landslide.

Monday 9 February

– Mef: preview presentation of the 2026 numismatic collection at the Ministry of Economy and Finance. The event will be presented by Andrea Delogu, with speeches by the minister Giancarlo Giorgetti, the IPZS president Paolo Perrone and the IPZS CEO Michele Sciscioli.

– Tax: conference “The tax aspects for businesses of the 2026 Budget Law”, organized by Assolombarda and Assonime.

Speakers will include Alvise Biffi, president of Assolombarda; Massimo Tononi, president of Assonime; Maurizio Leo, deputy minister of Economy and Finance.

– Cariplo Foundation: presentation of the 2026 Activity Plan.

Proposals and projects to give concrete answers to hopes and needs, and meeting ‘Still believing in the future’ – Unicredit: accounts and conference calls

– Banks: Conference: “Taxation in the banking system and the new Consolidated Finance Act”, organized by the Academy of the Guardia di Finanza, with Antonio Patuelli, President of the ABI, Marco Elio Rottigni, General Director of the ABI, Maurizio Leo, Deputy Minister of Economy.

– ECB: Christine Lagarde participates in the plenary debate of the European Parliament on the state of the EU economy and the activities of the ECB.

Tuesday 10 February

– USA: December retail sales

– Istat: presentation of the centenary initiatives. With the president Francesco Maria Chelli

– Bnl: Bnl Bnp Paribas meets the territory. New macroeconomic scenarios and impacts on the Central Territory. Participating among others are Elena Goitini, CEO of BNL and Head of BNP Paribas in Italy, Emanuele Orsini, President of Confindustria.

– Agriculture: conference organized by Cia and Inac on the Agricultural Civil Service, “Youth, values ​​and agriculture. The Minister of Agriculture, Food Sovereignty and Forestry, Francesco Lollobrigida, intervenes.

Milan: press conference ‘Welcome to Southern Italy: Calabria, Sardinia, Sicily. The Wonder that doesn’t stop. With the Minister of Tourism Daniela Santanchè, the CEO of Enit, Ivana Jelinic; the president of the Calabria Region, Roberto Occhiuto; the Tourism Councilor of the Sicily Region, Elvira Amata; and the Tourism Councilor of the Sardinia Region, Franco Cuccureddu; the Tourism Councilor of the Calabria Region, Giovanni Calabrese.

– Mps: accounts and conference call with CEO Luigi Lovaglio – Fs: Frecciarossa rebranding initiative. With Gianpiero Strisciuglio, CEO and General Manager of Trenitalia; Giuseppe Inchingolo, Chief Corporate Affairs, Communication & Sustainability Officer FS Group; Mario Alovisi, Director of Marketing & Revenue Management Trenitalia – Webuild: press conference for the presentation of the Mostra Evolutio of Webuild. With Pietro Salini, CEO of Webuild and Fiorenzo Marco Galli, general director of the National Science and Technology Museum.

– Construction: ‘City’ on stage, the fourth edition of the widespread Festival of urban regeneration opens, promoted by Ance Associazione Mecenate 90 and Cidac with the patronage of In/Arch, with the vice-president of Ance, Paola Malabaila, the regional councilor for Transport, Urban Planning and Urban Regeneration, Marco Scajola, and the general secretary of Mecenate 90, Ledo Prato.

– Nuclear: the joint Environment and Productive Activities Commissions, as part of the examination, in the referring body, of the draft laws granting delegation to the Government in the field of sustainable nuclear energy, hold the following hearings: Giorgio Locatelli, full professor of Project management at the Polytechnic of Milan; representatives of Terra Innovatu; representatives of ITER – International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor; representatives of the Inspectorate for Nuclear Safety and Radiation Protection (ISIN); representatives of Rina spa; representatives of the National Institute of Nuclear Physics (INFN); representatives of Renaissance Fusion Italia; representatives of Sogin spa; representatives of the Foundation for Sustainable Development.

– Milano: Evento ‘BlackRock Investment Conference 2026’.

Wednesday 11 February

– China: inflation in January

– USA: Employed people and unemployment rate in January – USA: weekly oil inventories

– Istat: industrial production December – Rome: conference ‘Beyond Climate – Transformative technologies for environmental safety in the era of climate change, organized by the Ministry of the Environment and Energy Security Speakers include Gilberto Pichetto Fratin, Minister of the Environment and Energy Security; Guido Crosetto, Minister of Defense; Tommaso Foti, minister for European affairs, cohesion policies and the Pnrr; Francesco Lollobrigida, Ministry of Agriculture, Food Sovereignty and Forestry; Sebastiano Musumeci, minister for civil protection and maritime policies; Alessio Butti, Undersecretary with responsibility for Technological Innovation and Digital Transition; Lara Ponti, Vice President of National Confindustria; Pietro Labriola, Vice President of Confindustria with responsibility for Digital.

– Work: conference “The value of invisible work – Human capital and businesses for well-being”, organized by Anip With Maurizio Marchesini vice president of Confindustria for Labor and Industrial Relations.

– AI: Sioi conference, ‘The challenge of complexity’ between new globalization and Artificial Intelligence. Introduced by President Riccardo Sessa, Cardinal Matteo Zuppi, Francesca Viviani and Diego Brasioli and Marco Emanuele, authors of the volume “Il tempo nuova”, discuss it in SIOI.

– Businesses: Roadshow “Together for the future of businesses”, organized by Cassa Depositi e Prestiti and Confindustria. with Angelo Camilli vice president of Confindustria for Credit, Finance and Taxation.

– Intesa San Paolo: guided tour of the exhibitions created for the Cultural Olympics “Gianni Berengo Gardin. The studio of Giorgio Morandi” and “The road to Cortina. VII Olympic Winter Games 1956”.

– EssilorLuxottica, 2025 results and conference call with CEO Milleri.

– Banca Generali: accounts and conference calls with CEO and general manager Gian Maria Mossa and CFO and Head of Strategy Tommaso di Russo.

– AI: Leonardo Committee and Assolombarda present the “Forum on Artificial Intelligence”. Speakers include, among others, Alvise Biffi, president of Assolombarda, Sergio Domp (president of the Leonardo Committee and Matteo Zoppas, president of the ICE Agency and AI Project Coordinator of the Leonardo Committee. The work will end with the speech of the Minister of Business and Made in Italy, Adolfo Urso.

Rome: the joint Environment and Productive Activities Commissions, as part of the examination, in the relevant body, of the draft laws granting delegation to the Government on sustainable nuclear energy, held the following hearings: Eni.

Thursday 12 February

– GB: GDP in the fourth quarter of 2025 and industrial production in December

– Oil: IEA monthly report

– USA: weekly unemployment benefits – USA: home purchase compromises

– Businesses: Conference on Corporate Governance organized by Assonime and OECD, on “The new frontiers for corporate governance”, with Fabrizio Testa, Antonio Tajani, Vittori Colao, Carmine Di Noia, Federico Freni, Piergaetano Marchetti, Andrea Sironi, Andrea Vismara.

– ECB: Piero Cipollone of the ECB executive committee speaks at a conference organized by the European Commission of the Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei.

– Fincantieri: ‘Capital Markets Day’, presentation of the 2026-2030 Industrial Plan, with CEO and general manager of Fincantieri, Pierroberto Folgiero.

Friday 13 February

– Spain: inflation in January

– Eurozone: trade balance in December 2025 – Eurozone: GDP fourth quarter 25

– USA: inflation in January

– Bergamo: Confindustria Bergamo, Aerospace in Action event, to offer companies an updated overview of European and national guidelines, market developments and geopolitical and security implications, with Fassi, Vice President of Confindustria Bergamo and Piantoni, General Director of Confindustria Bergamo.

date:2026-02-08 18:56:00

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