Turkey and Egypt Forge Alliance, Raising Concerns in Israel

Cairo – A growing diplomatic alignment between Türkiye and Egypt is prompting analysis in Israel, with some assessments warning of a potential shift in regional power dynamics. The emerging partnership, solidified during a meeting between Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi in Cairo on February 4, 2026, is viewed by some as a strategic move to create a Sunni bloc potentially encircling Israel [1].

A Shift in Regional Dynamics

The rapprochement between Ankara and Cairo marks a significant departure from a decade of public hostility. A military framework agreement signed in Cairo in 2024 signaled a willingness to overcome past disagreements and prioritize regime survival [1]. Israeli analysts suggest this collaboration extends beyond military cooperation, encompassing a broader effort by Erdoğan to strengthen ties with Sunni-majority nations under Turkish leadership [1].

Focus on Gaza and Regional Stability

During their February 4th meeting, Erdoğan and el-Sisi jointly condemned recent violations of the ceasefire in Gaza and called for the full implementation of the US-backed plan to end Israel’s war against Palestinians [4]. The leaders also discussed the urgent need to halt military actions between Israel and Iran and resume US-Iran negotiations [2]. Both presidents stressed the importance of a truce and a comprehensive peace deal to resolve the ongoing civil war in Sudan [4].

Transactional Pragmatism and Economic Interests

The shift in relations reflects a pragmatic approach from both leaders. Erdoğan has seemingly set aside his previous rhetoric concerning the Muslim Brotherhood in exchange for access to Egyptian markets and strategic maritime advantages [1]. El-Sisi, facing a domestic economic crisis marked by debt and inflation, seeks Turkish investment and drone technology to stabilize Egypt’s economy [1].

Implications for Israel

The emerging Turkish-Egyptian alignment has raised concerns in Israel, with some analysts suggesting it could reshape the regional balance of power. The previous rivalry between Egypt and Türkiye had, for years, served as a stabilizing factor, with Israel relying on Egypt as a secular counterweight to Turkish influence [1]. The new partnership signals a potential shift away from ideological proxy wars towards a more transactional approach focused on regime security and economic interests [1].