Groundhog Day 2026: Punxsutawney Phil Predicts Six More Weeks of Winter

Punxsutawney Phil, the famed weather-predicting groundhog, saw his shadow on Monday, February 2, 2026, forecasting six more weeks of winter, according to tradition. The annual ceremony took place at Gobbler’s Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, drawing thousands of spectators.

Phil’s Prediction and Historical Accuracy

This year’s prediction aligns with Phil’s forecast from the previous year. Since records began, Punxsutawney Phil has seen his shadow 110 times. However, analysis by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) suggests Phil’s accuracy rate over the past two decades is only around 35% CNN.

The Tradition of Groundhog Day

Groundhog Day, celebrated annually on February 2nd, has roots in both European and Christian traditions. It evolved from Candlemas, a Christian feast day focused on forecasting the remaining length of winter for agricultural planning. German immigrants to Pennsylvania adopted the tradition, substituting the groundhog for the European practice of observing bears or badgers USA Today.

How the Prediction Works

The legend states that if a groundhog sees its shadow on February 2nd, it indicates six more weeks of winter weather. If the groundhog does not see its shadow, an early spring is predicted. Astronomical winter officially ends with the spring equinox on March 20th, but Phil’s prediction remains a popular cultural event.

Beyond the Prediction: A Community Celebration

The Groundhog Day celebration at Gobbler’s Knob attracts thousands of visitors each year. The event includes the unveiling of Phil and the announcement of his prediction, along with festivities and community gatherings.