NFL Draft Outlook: Mendoza at No. 1, Jets’ Options at No. 2, and a Quarterback Carousel

As the 2026 NFL Draft approaches, all eyes are on Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza, widely projected as the first overall pick. Although the Las Vegas Raiders currently hold the top spot, the New York Jets, selecting second, face a different set of considerations. Beyond the top two picks, a fascinating quarterback carousel is taking shape, with several veterans potentially on the move and intriguing trade possibilities emerging.

Mendoza Expected to Land with the Raiders

Fernando Mendoza’s exceptional college career, culminating in a Heisman Trophy and a national championship for Indiana, has solidified his position as the presumptive No. 1 pick. Reports indicate that all signs point towards Mendoza joining the Las Vegas Raiders. He finished his season with 3,535 passing yards, 41 touchdowns, and only 6 interceptions, completing 72% of his passes. Mendoza himself has expressed gratitude for any team that selects him, stating he would be “blessed and honored” to be drafted regardless of the pick number. He recently interviewed with the Raiders, describing it as a “fantastic” meeting with the coaching staff.

Jets’ Options at No. 2: Defensive Focus

With Mendoza likely off the board, the Jets are expected to focus on bolstering their defense with the second overall pick. There isn’t another quarterback expected to be drafted in the top 10. The primary contenders for the Jets’ selection are Ohio State’s Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs, Miami’s Rueben Bain Jr, and Texas Tech’s David Bailey. Reese, a versatile linebacker/edge-rusher, offers dynamic playmaking ability. Downs, a safety, is considered by some to be the best overall player in the draft, though the value of safeties in the modern NFL is a point of debate. Bailey and Bain represent more traditional edge-rushing profiles, with potential to become dominant pass rushers.

Quarterback Carousel: Malik Willis and Beyond

The quarterback market is poised for significant activity. Malik Willis, formerly of the Titans and Packers, is emerging as a highly sought-after free agent, expected to command a contract worth at least $30 million per year. His development as a passer during his time with the Packers has generated considerable interest from teams in need of a quarterback. The Cardinals, Dolphins, and Steelers are considered frontrunners for Willis’s services.

Beyond Willis, several other quarterbacks could be on the move. Kirk Cousins is seeking a new team, and the Cardinals are expected to release Kyler Murray. Tua Tagovailoa’s future in Miami is uncertain, and Geno Smith could also be available. Anthony Richardson, currently with the Colts, is a potential trade candidate, with the Vikings emerging as a possible destination.

Potential Trades and Key Players

In addition to quarterback movement, several trades could reshape the league landscape. Maxx Crosby, a highly coveted pass rusher with the Raiders, has reportedly expressed a desire to be traded. AJ Brown, a wide receiver with the Eagles, is also a potential trade candidate. These players, along with others like DJ Moore, Brian Thomas Jr, Mac Jones, Nick Herbig, Kayvon Thibodeaux, and Trent McDuffie, could be involved in significant deals during the offseason.

The 2026 NFL Draft and free agency period promise to be filled with intrigue, as teams navigate a complex market in search of players who can elevate their franchises.