UFC Fight Night 268: Green vs. Zellhuber – Preview, Odds & Prediction (2026)

by Alex Thompson — Chief Editor
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UFC Fight Night 268: Zellhuber vs. Green – A Lightweight Clash in Mexico City

Mexico City’s Arena CDMX will host a compelling lightweight bout on Saturday, February 28, 2026, as Daniel Zellhuber faces King Green in the main card of UFC Fight Night 268. The event, streaming live on Paramount+, pits a rising prospect against a seasoned veteran at a crossroads in his career.

Fighter Backgrounds

Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel Zellhuber (15-3 MMA, 3-3 UFC) enters this fight looking to rebound from back-to-back decision losses to Esteban Ribovics and Michael Johnson. The 26-year-ancient Mexican fighter previously secured a unanimous decision victory over Francisco Prado, earning Fight of the Night honors. Zellhuber boasts a 6’1” frame with a 77-inch reach, offering a significant physical advantage over his opponent. He lands an average of 5.83 significant strikes per minute with 39% accuracy, though his striking defense allows nearly an equal number of strikes to land against him – 5.91 per minute. Tony’s Picks

King Green

King Green (33-17-1 MMA, 14-12-1 UFC) aims to build on a recent split decision win over Lance Gibson Jr. In December, which halted a two-fight losing streak that included stoppage losses to Mauricio Ruffy and Paddy Pimblett. Green has fought professionally over 50 times, bringing a wealth of experience to the Octagon. Notably, he remains undefeated in Mexico. MMA Junkie

The Matchup and Expert Predictions

Analysts view this bout as a potential turning point for both fighters. While Zellhuber represents the younger, ascending talent, Green’s extensive experience and past success in Mexico cannot be overlooked. Zellhuber has reportedly been training at high elevation in Mexico City, potentially mitigating any cardio-related disadvantages. However, concerns remain regarding Green’s declining durability.

Despite these factors, many experts favor Zellhuber to secure a decision victory. The current betting odds reflect this sentiment, with Zellhuber listed as a significant favorite at -520 and Green as a +350 underdog. Tony’s Picks

Fight Details

  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: Approximately 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico
  • Broadcast: Paramount+
  • Weight Class: Lightweight (155 lbs)

Betting Odds

As of February 28, 2026:

  • Daniel Zellhuber: -520
  • King Green: +350

Tony’s Picks

Recent Results

Leading up to UFC Fight Night 268, the MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom had a record of 13-9 on UFC main cards in 2026, and 2-4 on the last event’s results. MMA Junkie

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