Gulf States Navigate Trump’s Ultimatum and Iranian Threats

The Gulf region is on edge as countries grapple with a volatile situation stemming from former U.S. President Donald Trump’s ultimatum to Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz and retaliatory threats from Tehran. While anger simmers over recent escalations, a unified response remains elusive, with Gulf states diverging in their approaches.

Trump’s Ultimatum and Iran’s Response

On March 21, 2026, Donald Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, demanding the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz without conditions. He threatened to “obliterate” Iran’s power plants if the demand was not met [1]. This followed a social media post on March 23, 2026, reiterating the threat [1].

In response, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) threatened to target power plants and water stations across the Middle East, including facilities in Gulf countries and the United Arab Emirates’ Barakah nuclear plant, if the U.S. Were to attack Iranian power infrastructure [1]. Iran as well indicated it would completely close the Strait of Hormuz if Trump followed through with his threat.

Diverging Responses Among Gulf States

The threats have elicited varied reactions from Gulf nations. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) appears to be hardening its stance, viewing Iran as a “priority threat” and seeking closer security ties with the United States. Officials believe Iran has miscalculated its response and are not urging de-escalation [1]. The UAE, along with Bahrain, has expressed readiness to contribute to efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in a joint statement with European leaders [1].

Saudi Arabia has taken a firm line, expelling two Iranian diplomats and stating that trust in Iran has been “shattered” [1].

Oman, traditionally a mediator in regional conflicts, has publicly criticized U.S. Foreign policy, arguing that the U.S. Has “lost control” and urging a return to negotiations [1].

Looking Ahead

Regardless of whether Iran’s regime survives the current conflict, it is likely to face increased isolation. Countries like the UAE and Saudi Arabia are expected to prioritize deterrence over diplomacy, potentially leading to a more volatile security landscape in the Gulf region [1].