Trump’s Foreign Policy: From Venezuela to Iran and Beyond

President Donald Trump’s foreign policy has been marked by decisive, and often unpredictable, actions. From the removal of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro to military engagement with Iran, and with increasing attention now focused on Cuba, questions arise about the overarching strategy – or lack thereof – guiding these moves.

The Maduro Removal and the Iran Conflict

In January 2026, U.S. Special forces successfully removed Nicolás Maduro from power in Venezuela, an operation lauded by Trump as a success. This daring raid was followed by a joint U.S.-Israeli military operation against Iran in February, resulting in the deaths of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and other key Iranian leaders. The war in Iran has proven deeply unpopular domestically and has led to a significant spike in oil prices.

Cuba in the Crosshairs

More recently, Cuba has become a focal point of Trump’s rhetoric. The President has suggested the U.S. Will soon “do something” with Cuba, raising concerns about potential intervention. Trump has indicated he believes the strategy employed in Venezuela could be replicated in Iran, and potentially Cuba.

Is There a Grand Strategy?

Experts are divided on whether these actions are part of a cohesive strategy. Eirik Løkke, a USA expert and advisor at Civita, suggests it’s difficult to identify a clear overarching plan, noting the geographical disconnect between Venezuela, Iran, and Cuba.

Some analysts point to the influence of individuals like U.S. Foreign Minister Marco Rubio, who has Cuban parents and a strong ideological interest in regime change in Cuba. But, Løkke argues that Trump operates more on instinct, motivated by perceived successes like the Maduro removal.

A Pattern of Risk-Taking?

Hilmar Mjelde, a professor of political science at the Norwegian University of Applied Sciences, echoes the sentiment that Trump lacks a long-term strategic vision. He references Trump’s 1987 book, “The Art of the Deal,” where the former President expressed a preference for improvisational decision-making. Mjelde believes Trump may have become emboldened by the success in Venezuela, leading him to seize greater risks in Iran.

Mjelde also suggests that Trump, like many presidents in their second term, is focused on securing a legacy as a significant historical figure.

Cuba’s Response and International Reactions

Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel has responded defiantly to Trump’s threats, vowing “unbreakable resistance” against any external attack. Russia has expressed unwavering solidarity with Cuba, condemning any attempts at interference in its internal affairs.

Economic Pressure and Regional Instability

The United States maintains a blockade that restricts oil deliveries to Cuba, contributing to a severe energy crisis on the island. This economic pressure adds to the already volatile situation in the region.

The situation remains fluid, with the potential for further escalation. The long-term consequences of Trump’s foreign policy decisions are yet to be fully understood.