College Basketball: Expert Picks and Analysis – February 23, 2026
With conference tournament play rapidly approaching, several teams are making late-season pushes. Here’s a look at some key matchups and betting insights for the week of February 23rd, 2026.
Monday: Louisville at North Carolina – Over 161 (-110)
The Louisville Cardinals are consistently among the nation’s highest-scoring teams. Their offense experienced a temporary dip during the absence of star guard Mikel Brown Jr., but has rebounded strongly since his return, averaging 89.2 points per game since a loss to Duke in January. North Carolina’s offensive production has slowed following an injury to Caleb Wilson, though Henri Veesaar’s return provides a boost. The Tar Heels perform well at home, averaging 82.4 points per game at the Dean Smith Center. Despite Wilson’s absence, Louisville’s fast pace is expected to drive the total score over 161.
Tuesday: USC at UCLA – UCLA to Cover
The UCLA Bruins navigated a turbulent week following comments from head coach Mick Cronin, responding with a thrilling 95-94 overtime victory against No. 10 Illinois. This win demonstrates continued buy-in from the team despite a challenging season. UCLA boasts a strong home record of 15-1. USC has lost two of its last three road games, and while Alijah Arenas’ return from injury provided a spark, it hasn’t significantly altered their performance.
Wednesday: Pittsburgh at Stanford – Stanford to Cover
Stanford has struggled after a promising start to the season, losing eight of its last 11 conference games. A pattern emerges from these losses: five occurred on the road, and four on the East Coast, suggesting that cross-country travel negatively impacts their performance. Pittsburgh has won only three conference games this season and lacks a consistent go-to player capable of securing victories.
Thursday: Elon at Towson – Towson to Cover
Towson entered the season as the favorites to win the Colonial Athletic Association (CAA), but their performance in conference play has been disappointing. While their home defense ranks seventh nationally, allowing only 60.7 points per game, offensive struggles with key players Tyler Tejada and Dylan Williamson have hindered their success. Elon has been the CAA’s weakest defensive team, conceding 80.7 points per game.
Friday: Michigan at Illinois – Over
Both Michigan and Illinois are top-20 teams averaging over 85 points per game, favoring a fast-paced style of play. However, their offensive approaches differ: Michigan excels in the interior, shooting 62.3 percent from two-point range (second in the nation), while Illinois relies on three-point shooting, averaging 11.3 successful three-pointers per game (sixth in the nation).
Sources: ESPN, Courier-Journal, GoCards.com, AP News