Equities turn in bullish week on peace, budget optimism – Business

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The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) saw the KSE-100 index briefly surpass 180,000 in late June 2026, marking its highest level since February, before retreating amid renewed Middle East tensions, according to Topline Securities data. The benchmark closed the week at 178,922.75, up 3.8% week-on-week.

What Caused the KSE-100 Index to Rise and Fall?

The KSE-100 index initially climbed on optimism about U.S.-Iran diplomacy and improved macroeconomic indicators, including a $459 million current account surplus in May and a 6.1% year-on-year increase in large-scale manufacturing output. However, Israel’s intensified attacks in Lebanon and the cancellation of U.S.-Iran talks in Switzerland triggered profit-taking, pushing the index below 180,000 by week’s end, as reported by Arif Habib Ltd.

How Did Geopolitical Tensions Impact Investor Sentiment?

Renewed concerns over the Middle East conflict overshadowed positive economic data. While investor sentiment remained cautiously optimistic about U.S.-Iran peace efforts, the scrapping of scheduled diplomatic talks in Switzerland led to Friday’s sell-off, according to AKD Securities. The State Bank of Pakistan maintained its policy rate at 11.5%, balancing inflationary pressures with external sector risks.

What Role Did Macroeconomic Data Play in Market Performance?

Key indicators supported the market, including a 33% monthly rise in power generation due to seasonal factors and a 13% year-on-year increase in technology exports to $373 million. Net foreign direct investment surged to $214 million in May, up from $54 million in April, while the rupee appreciated 0.02% to Rs278.25 against the dollar, per the State Bank of Pakistan.

Which Sectors Contributed Most to the KSE-100 Gains?

Banking stocks led the index’s weekly gains, adding 2,047 points, followed by cement, investment banking, and power sector shares. Individual stocks like UBL, Engro Holdings, and Pakistan Petroleum were top performers, according to AKD Securities.

What Are Analysts’ Outlooks for the Coming Weeks?

Analysts anticipate cautious trading due to Muharram holidays and ongoing Middle East uncertainty. However, improving macroeconomic data, lower bond yields, and expected strong corporate earnings could provide support, as noted by Arif Habib Ltd. The KSE-100 currently trades at an 8.3x price-to-earnings ratio with a 6.1% dividend yield.

For further details, refer to the Dawn report from June 21, 2026, and the State Bank of Pakistan publications.

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