India’s Path to Domestic Resilience Amid Rising Global Risks

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India Unveils Strategy to Boost Domestic Resilience Amid Geopolitical Risks

The Indian government has launched a series of initiatives aimed at enhancing domestic resilience, driven by concerns over trade, energy, and technology dependencies exacerbated by global conflicts, according to official statements and industry analyses. The move aligns with the broader “Make in India” strategy, which seeks to reduce reliance on foreign imports and strengthen self-sufficiency in critical sectors.

Government Initiatives and Policy Shifts

India’s Ministry of Defence has prioritized increasing indigenous production of military equipment, with plans to allocate additional funding for research and development (R&D). A report by Kotak Mahindra Holdings highlighted the need for a $5 billion R&D boost to modernize the defence sector, stating that domestic manufacturing could reduce vulnerabilities tied to global supply chain disruptions. “The war in Ukraine has underscored the risks of over-reliance on foreign technologies,” the report noted.

Government Initiatives and Policy Shifts

The government has also introduced measures to support local manufacturers in the energy and technology sectors. Prime Minister Narendra Modi emphasized the importance of “new independence” during a recent address, calling for policies that prioritize domestic innovation. “We must build a self-reliant economy that can withstand external shocks,” Modi said, citing the need to cut dependence on foreign capital and imports.

Economic and Strategic Rationale

Analysts attribute the push for resilience to rising geopolitical tensions and the economic fallout from conflicts like the Russia-Ukraine war. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), India’s import dependence on energy and technology has increased by 12% since 2020, exposing the economy to price volatility. A 2023 study by the Observer Research Foundation (ORF) found that reducing reliance on foreign goods could stabilize inflation and boost long-term growth.

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The defence sector remains a focal point. India currently imports over 60% of its military equipment, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). The government’s 2024-25 budget allocated ₹1.2 trillion (approximately $14.5 billion) for defence modernization, with a mandate to prioritize domestic firms. “This is not just about security—it’s about economic sovereignty,” said Defence Minister Rajnath Singh in a press briefing.

Challenges and Criticisms

While the initiatives have garnered support, some experts caution that scaling up domestic production requires significant investment and infrastructure upgrades. A 2023 report by the Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER) warned that without targeted policies, the transition could face delays. “The challenge lies in balancing speed with quality,” the report stated.

Challenges and Criticisms

Critics also highlight the need for regulatory reforms to attract private sector participation. “Self-reliance cannot be achieved through government mandates alone,” said Ajay Kapur, a senior economist at the National Institute of Public Finance and Policy. “Creating a conducive environment for innovation is critical.”

What’s Next for India’s Resilience Strategy?

The government plans to unveil a comprehensive framework by mid-2024, outlining specific targets for domestic manufacturing and R&D investment. Key sectors under focus include renewable energy, semiconductors, and advanced materials. Industry leaders are urging faster implementation to capitalize on global shifts toward nearshoring and regional supply chains.

“This is a pivotal moment for India’s economic strategy,” said Ravi Venkatesan, chairman of the Confederation of Indian Industry. “The success of these initiatives will determine whether the country can emerge as a global leader in self-sufficient manufacturing.”

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