Rainfall and Landslides Cause 7% Decline in Tapanuli Orangutan Population, Study Finds
A 2023 study published in *Current Biology* revealed that extreme rainfall and subsequent landslides in Indonesia’s Sumatra region led to the deaths of at least 7% of the world’s rarest great ape species, the Tapanuli orangutan, according to the Tapanuli Orangutan Research Project. The population, estimated at around 800 individuals, faces heightened extinction risks due to habitat fragmentation and climate-related disasters, researchers warned.
Conservationists Warn of Extinction Risk

The Tapanuli orangutan, found only in the Batang Toru ecosystem of Sumatra, is classified as critically endangered by the IUCN. A 2022 report by the organization highlighted that habitat loss and human encroachment had already reduced their numbers by 40% over two decades. The 2023 rainfall events, exacerbated by deforestation, triggered landslides that destroyed critical forest corridors, isolating groups of the species and increasing vulnerability to poaching and inbreeding, according to the study.
Comparison of Sources on Population Impact
While The Guardian and *The Straits Times* cited the 7% mortality rate from the 2023 study, Phys.org’s report emphasized the role of a single storm in 2022 as a “catalyst” for the decline. The discrepancy reflects the challenge of quantifying wildlife losses in remote areas, where field surveys are logistically difficult. However, both the study and conservation groups agree that the species’ survival hinges on immediate habitat protection and climate resilience measures.
Historical Context and Conservation Efforts
The Tapanuli orangutan was first identified as a distinct species in 2017, with a 2017 census by the Tapanuli Orangutan Research Project estimating 400–500 individuals. Since then, infrastructure projects, including a hydroelectric dam, have further fragmented their habitat. Conservationists argue that the 2023 disaster underscores the urgency of expanding protected areas and enforcing anti-deforestation laws, as outlined in a 2021 policy paper by the Indonesian Ministry of Environment.
What’s Next for the Species?
Experts warn that without intervention, the Tapanuli orangutan could face extinction within a decade. The 2023 study calls for international funding to support reforestation and community-based conservation programs. Meanwhile, the IUCN is reviewing the species’ status, with a potential reclassification to “extinct in the wild” if recovery efforts fail. As climate change intensifies, the fate of this rare ape serves as a stark reminder of the interconnected threats to biodiversity.