Miami and Notre Dame Clash in South Bend
The Miami Hurricanes and Notre Dame Fighting Irish meet on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Notre Dame Stadium in Indiana, renewing one of college football’s most bitter rivalries. Last season, Miami beat Notre Dame 27-24 on a late field goal, a tight finish that ultimately edged the Irish out of the final at-large playoff spot. Now they square off as AP top-five teams for just the second time in history, joining a legendary 1988 matchup that Notre Dame won 31-30, according to ESPN. DraftKings lists Notre Dame as a 6-point favorite, while BetMGM sets the line at 5.5 points, with the over/under set at 57.5 points. ESPN gives the Fighting Irish a 61.3% chance to win, leaving Miami with a 38.7% probability. Dimers offers a similar projection, assigning Miami a 33.1% win probability against 66.9% for Notre Dame.
Quarterback Showdown Between Mensah and Carr
Three of the five shortest Heisman Trophy odds take the field in this Week 10 showdown. Miami quarterback Darian Mensah leads the country in QBR at 90.3, adjusted completion percentage at 86.2%, and touchdown passes with 25, as reported by Covers. On the other side, Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr has thrown 16 touchdowns against just one interception. Mensah’s ability to attack downfield with wide receiver Malachi Toney powers an offense that leads the Football Bowl Subdivision in net adjusted EPA per play. Covers notes that Miami ranks second nationally in offensive success rate at 52.4%.
Notre Dame Defense Tests Miami Rushing Attack
While Miami’s offense averages 49 points per game, ESPN notes that Notre Dame presents a much tougher defensive test through superior coverage and reliable tackling. The Hurricanes’ rushing attack, led by running backs Javian Mallory and Mark Fletcher Jr., faces a defense capable of meeting runners early and finishing tackles in the open field. For bettors, the over/under of 57.5 points highlights a clash between explosive offensive numbers and disciplined defensive fronts. Both teams limit successful runs to roughly a third of attempts and heavily feature the ground game on about half their plays. Covers reports that Miami is 7-1 to the over this season, while Dimers projects a 31-26 victory for Notre Dame.
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