New Mexico vs. San Diego State Odds & Prediction: College Basketball Best Bets Today

by Daniel Perez - News Editor
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New Mexico Hosts San Diego State in Key Mountain West Matchup

ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. – The New Mexico Lobos (21-7, 12-5 Mountain West) host the San Diego State Aztecs (19-8, 13-4 Mountain West) at The Pit on Saturday, February 28, with a 2:00 pm EST tip-off. The game carries significant weight as both teams vie for position in the Mountain West Conference standings.

Betting Odds and Predictions

New Mexico is currently favored by 2.5 points (-105) in the game. The over/under is set at 149.5 total points. Predictive models give New Mexico a 58.9% chance of winning, while the spread model suggests the Lobos will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.

Team Performance and Statistics

San Diego State Aztecs

  • San Diego State attempted 795 three-pointers last season, the most in the Mountain West Conference.
  • The Aztecs had an effective field goal percentage (eFG%) of 50% last season, the lowest in the conference.
  • San Diego State shot 32% from three-point range (251/795) last season, also the lowest in the Mountain West.
  • Their true shooting percentage (TS%) was 46% last season, the lowest in the conference.
  • Since the start of the 2023-24 season, San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% from the field, the best mark in the Mountain West.
  • The Aztecs allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot last season, tied for the best in the conference.

New Mexico Lobos

  • New Mexico averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (431 rebounds/34 games) last season, leading the Mountain West.
  • The Lobos averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (341 turnovers/34 games) last season, the fewest in the conference.
  • New Mexico averaged 81.2 points per game (2,762 points/34 games) last season, the most in the Mountain West.
  • The Lobos forced 14.3 turnovers per game (485 turnovers/34 games) last season, the best in the Mountain West.
  • New Mexico averaged 8.9 steals per game (303 steals/34 games) last season, also leading the conference.
  • They allowed opponents to shoot just 30% from three-point range last season, ranking 6th best nationally.

Conference Standings and Championship Implications

New Mexico is 8-3 overall and 5-2 in the Mountain West, tied with Boise State (7-4, 5-2) and UNLV (9-2, 5-2). San Diego State leads the conference at 9-2 overall and 6-1 in conference play. Two of these four teams will compete in the Mountain West Championship game.

A win for San Diego State secures their hosting rights for the championship game. A loss for the Aztecs could still result in a return trip to Albuquerque for the title game if Utah State defeats Boise State and Nevada beats UNLV. If either UNLV or Boise State wins, the championship berth will be determined by a composite of four computer rankings.

For New Mexico, a win, combined with a Utah State victory over Boise State, would guarantee the Lobos host the championship game on December 5th at 6 p.m.

How to Watch

The game will be broadcast on CBS Sports Network.

Betting Information

Fans can place bets on New Mexico vs. San Diego State and all college basketball games with BetMGM.

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