Oklahoma Severe Storms & Tornado Risk Saturday

by Alex Thompson — Chief Editor
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Storms bring another risk of hail and strong winds as well as a low tornado threat on Saturday after severe weather moved through Oklahoma late Friday. >> Go to the KOCO weather page | Get KOCO on the Go | Subscribe to KOCO 5’s YouTube channel | Sign up for KOCO 5’s Morning NewsletterKOCO 5 Meteorologist Joseph Neubauer says on-and-off showers and storms are likely Saturday morning and afternoon. He says the chance of a washout is in southeastern Oklahoma near Ada, McAlester, Ardmore and Durant. Saturday Morning Storm Risk A level one marginal risk has been issued for the southern half of Oklahoma, stretching to the OKC metro. The risk is for Saturday morning’s wave of storms. Joseph says there’s also a very low tornado threat after 7 a.m. in southern and southeastern Oklahoma. The tornado index is 1 out of 10 for areas east of Lawton to Ardmore, Ada, McAlester and Durant. Joseph doesn’t anticipate spin-up tornadoes in southeastern Oklahoma, but there is still a very low chance they could happen. Saturday Afternoon and Evening Storm Risk High chances of rain will continue during the afternoon and evening, with the higher possibilities being in central and eastern Oklahoma. Although the rain chances are lower in western and southwestern Oklahoma, a marginal risk has been issued for the southwestern corner of the state south of Clinton to Hobart, Lawton and Altus. This severe weather risk also carries a very low tornado threat in the areas included in the marginal risk zone. The tornado index is 1 out of 10. Joseph says the hail risk is a bigger concern with this round of storms after 2 p.m. Areas near Altus and Hobart could see golf ball-sized hail, and the rest of southwestern Oklahoma could get quarter-sized hail. There’s also a chance of 50-60 mph wind gusts. Severe Storm Timeline Radar predictor shows a round of storms moving through southern Oklahoma near Lawton, Duncan, Chickasha and Pauls Valley around 7 a.m. Saturday. That storm could produce small hail and 50-60 mph winds. There’s also a very low tornado risk. That line of storms will move into central and east-central Oklahoma by 10 a.m. as the complex moves to the east. The OKC metro is just far enough north that Joseph says he doesn’t believe the area will see severe weather with the storms. Storms will continue into eastern and southeastern Oklahoma from noon to 3 p.m. At the same time, some storms are expected to develop in western Oklahoma. This is the afternoon and evening wave of storms that poses another low tornado risk in southwestern Oklahoma. The rain chances will go down by around 6 p.m. and into Saturday night, but the threat of severe weather in southwestern Oklahoma lingers. Rain will continue into the evening before moving out of the state early Sunday morning. KOCO 5 First Alert Weather Team, led by Chief Meteorologist Damon Lane, has been certified by WeatheRate as providing the Most Accurate Forecast in Oklahoma City for 13 consecutive years. This outstanding achievement underscores KOCO 5’s unwavering dedication to delivering reliable weather forecasts to viewers.

Storms bring another risk of hail and strong winds as well as a low tornado threat on Saturday after severe weather moved through Oklahoma late Friday.

>> Go to the KOCO weather page | Get KOCO on the Go | Subscribe to KOCO 5’s YouTube channel | Sign up for KOCO 5’s Morning Newsletter

KOCO 5 Meteorologist Joseph Neubauer says on-and-off showers and storms are likely Saturday morning and afternoon. He says the chance of a washout is in southeastern Oklahoma near Ada, McAlester, Ardmore and Durant.

Saturday Morning Storm Risk

A level one marginal risk has been issued for the southern half of Oklahoma, stretching to the OKC metro. The risk is for Saturday morning’s wave of storms.

Joseph says there’s also a very low tornado threat after 7 a.m. in southern and southeastern Oklahoma. The tornado index is 1 out of 10 for areas east of Lawton to Ardmore, Ada, McAlester and Durant.

Joseph doesn’t anticipate spin-up tornadoes in southeastern Oklahoma, but there is still a very low chance they could happen.

feb. 14, 2026 morning tornado risk

Saturday Afternoon and Evening Storm Risk

High chances of rain will continue during the afternoon and evening, with the higher possibilities being in central and eastern Oklahoma.

Although the rain chances are lower in western and southwestern Oklahoma, a marginal risk has been issued for the southwestern corner of the state south of Clinton to Hobart, Lawton and Altus.

Feb. 14, 2026 severe storm risk

This severe weather risk also carries a very low tornado threat in the areas included in the marginal risk zone. The tornado index is 1 out of 10.

feb. 14, 2026 tornado risk

Joseph says the hail risk is a bigger concern with this round of storms after 2 p.m. Areas near Altus and Hobart could see golf ball-sized hail, and the rest of southwestern Oklahoma could get quarter-sized hail.

feb. 14, 2026 hail risk

There’s also a chance of 50-60 mph wind gusts.

Feb. 14, 2026 severe storm risk

Severe Storm Timeline

Radar predictor shows a round of storms moving through southern Oklahoma near Lawton, Duncan, Chickasha and Pauls Valley around 7 a.m. Saturday.

That storm could produce small hail and 50-60 mph winds. There’s also a very low tornado risk.

Feb. 14, 2026 severe storm risk

That line of storms will move into central and east-central Oklahoma by 10 a.m. as the complex moves to the east. The OKC metro is just far enough north that Joseph says he doesn’t believe the area will see severe weather with the storms.

Storms will continue into eastern and southeastern Oklahoma from noon to 3 p.m. At the same time, some storms are expected to develop in western Oklahoma.

This is the afternoon and evening wave of storms that poses another low tornado risk in southwestern Oklahoma.

Feb. 14, 2026 severe storm risk

The rain chances will go down by around 6 p.m. and into Saturday night, but the threat of severe weather in southwestern Oklahoma lingers. Rain will continue into the evening before moving out of the state early Sunday morning.

Feb. 14, 2026 severe storm risk


KOCO 5 First Alert Weather Team, led by Chief Meteorologist Damon Lane, has been certified by WeatheRate as providing the Most Accurate Forecast in Oklahoma City for 13 consecutive years. This outstanding achievement underscores KOCO 5’s unwavering dedication to delivering reliable weather forecasts to viewers.

date: 2026-02-14 07:18:00

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