Paris Advice & Chelsea Trends: Upcoming Season

by Javier Moreno - Sports Editor
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After winning two trophies last season, Chelsea cannot be overlooked as a pretender in the Premier League title this season. They have lost only one of their last eight games before their conference league final, showing how arduous it is to beat them. Consequently, they are now the fourth favorites to win the title, which is not an unrealistic prediction with a probability of 10 %.

Another place among the first four is very likely, even if they barely secured it last season. On the other hand, an end of the season like that of Tottenham and Man Utd last year is less likely. Maresca has signed crucial players and should sign others. They will only strengthen his team, which will now compete on four fronts. Though, playing in the Champions League could affect their championship campaign and possibly lead them to a new fourth place.

Walk Winner Implicit probability
Winner 10.00 10.20%
Top four 1.45 62.89%
Top six 1.20 84.75%

All odds are provided by Unibet, correct at the time of publication. They can now differ.

Ranking of last season: 4th

Difficulty of the first five games

Date Opponent Result last season Difficulty
17/08/2025 Crystal Palace (C) 1-1 3
22/08/2025 West Ham (T) 0-3 Victoire 2
30/08/2025 Fulham (C) 1-2 defeat 3
13/09/2025 Brentford (T) 0-0 3
20/09/2025 Manchester United (T) 1-1 4

Chelsea received a favorable start with her first five Premier League games, and could potentially win four. These four games are all london derbies, starting with their home match against crystal Palace. Although they drew last season, this Chelsea team will be a different and better opponent.

The same goes for their trip to Brentford. Thomas Frank left the Bees, as well as other key figures like Bryan Mbuemo and Christian Nørgaard. The blues will be likely to win three points in this match. Although Fulham can cause some concerns to Chelsea, a home loss is unlikely since the match takes place in Stamford Bridge. with Man Utd strengthening their attack, a draw in this match is a realistic prediction.

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Football Betting Analysis: Key Performance Indicators

Football Betting Analysis: Key Performance indicators

This report analyzes key performance indicators (KPIs) from football betting data, focusing on profit and loss (P/L) and return on investment (ROI) across different seasons and locations (domicile vs. outside). The data provides insights into betting performance and potential areas for advancement.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals Market

Season Winning O/U P/L Brush O/U P/L Winning O/U ROI Defeat O/U ROI Winning % defeat %
2024/2025 11.99 -1.19 27.0% -3.0% 53.3% 20.8%
Domicile 6.19 -0.49 21.6% -1.7% 57.1% 18.2%
outside 5.80 -0.70 24.8% -3.8% 50.0% 23.1%
2023/2024 2.79 -0.41 8.1% -1.2% 44.8% 28.1%
Domicile 4.79 -5.5% -6.7% 25.2%
Outside -5.05 4.30 -1.63 -26.6% 22.6% -8.6%
2022/2023 -19.41 3.22 20.23 -51.1% 8.5% 53.2%
Domicile -9.70 7.66 6.21 -51.1% 40.3% 32.7%
Outside -9.71 -4.44 14.02 -51.1% -23.4% 73.8%

Asian handicap market

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Season Winning Ah P/L Brush AH P/L Winning ah roi Defeat ah roi
2024/2025 -6.00 3.49 -15.8% 9.2%
Domicile -3.52 2.36 -18.5% 12.4%
Outside -2.48 1.13 -13.1% 5.9%
2023/2024 -1.36 -0.84 -3.6%