The Russian and Ukrainian armies have exchanged roles, since the former is gaining ground in Donbas and in the northeastern sector of the front, while the second accuses the lack of Western ammunition in its counteroffensive in the south, although it remains firm on the left bank of the Dnieper River.
Everything indicates that, after many months, Russia has finally regained the initiative in several sectors of the front. This has not happened since the taking of Bakhmut (Donetsk) last May.
Experts consider that kyiv does not currently have a ‘kulak’ (‘fist’) – in the form of a well-equipped troops, tanks and armor– powerful enough to even reach the Russian stronghold of Tokmak, in the southern region of Zaporizhia.
The Ukrainian advance in the area has been slowed even more by the arrival of winter, which complicates plans to reach the coast of the Sea of Azov in the coming months.
The Russian army would have this week launched its third general offensive since the beginning of October to reduce the Minimum bottleneck which allows the arrival of supplies and reinforcements, and, in this way, surround Avdivka.