The ‘premier’ Rishi Sunak and the leader of the Labor opposition, Keir Starmerhave simultaneously given the starting signal to the British elections, which they will most likely get ahead a May or October of this year. He Labor Party leads to the Conservative Party for 17 points (41% to 24%) in the latest Ipsos survey, a distance that analysts do not consider sufficient to guarantee a comfortable victory comparable to that of Tony Blair over John Major in 1997.
Sunak confirmed while passing through the town of Mansfield, in central England, that his “working hypothesis is that the elections will be held in the second half of the year.” “There are still many things I want to do”assured the British Prime Minister, “as manage the economy, cut taxes y tackle illegal immigration“.
Labor assures, however, that the advance to May is “the worst kept secret in Westminster” and that the ‘premier’ can take advantage of the announcement of the spring budget to cut taxes as electoral bait. That date would also allow Sunak to get ahead of the new and foreseeable wave of irregular immigrants in the English Channel with the arrival of good weather.
The first Minister, stalked by strikes in public health at the start of the year, it could, however, delay the appointment until the fall to allow for a greater recovery of the economy and reduce the gap that right now seems insurmountable in the polls.
The Labor campaign director, Morgan McSweeney, has however started the year warning his leader, Keir Starmer, of the risk of falling into complacency. In a recent presentation to members of the Labor “shadow” government, McSweeney warned how in eight elections held around the world in recent years, the “clear favorite” lost after his advantage evaporated in the final weeks before the election. .