Everton vs Chelsea: Prediction, Odds & Head-to-Head Stats | Premier League

by Javier Moreno - Sports Editor
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Everton Face Chelsea in Crucial Premier League Clash

Everton and Chelsea are set to meet at Goodison Park on Saturday, March 22, 2026, in a Premier League match with significant implications for both sides. Everton, aiming for a European qualification spot, will host a Chelsea side struggling to regain form after recent setbacks.

Chelsea’s Recent Struggles

Chelsea are looking to bounce back from a difficult stretch, having suffered three defeats in two major competitions. They lost 5-2 away to Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League, followed by a 1-0 defeat to Newcastle United in the Premier League, and then a 3-0 loss to PSG at home. While Chelsea defeated PSG 3-0 at the Club World Cup in July 2025, their recent performances under Liam Rosenior have been disappointing.

Everton’s Momentum

Everton, have had a week to prepare for this match. Their recent 2-0 defeat to Arsenal was hard-fought, with the Gunners not securing the win until the 89th and 90+7th minutes through goals from Viktor Gyokeres and Max Dowman. David Moyes’ team is in excellent form and determined to secure points in their pursuit of European qualification.

Statistical Outlook and Predictions

Opta’s supercomputer gives Everton a 32.3% chance of winning at home, slightly lower than Chelsea’s 37.1%. Everton has conceded only one goal per game at home recently, suggesting a potentially low-scoring affair. Everton’s home record against Chelsea is strong, having lost only one of their last eight Premier League home games against the Blues (5 wins, 2 draws). The last time Chelsea won at Goodison Park was in August 2022 (1-0). Their new stadium, Hill Dickinson, may prove a challenging venue for Chelsea.

Key Absences and Expert Opinions

Chelsea will be without key players Reece James, Jamie Gittens, and Levi Colvill, which significantly impacts their chances of victory. The return of winger Estevao could bolster their attack. Experts are divided on the outcome, with former manager Harry Redknapp and BBC commentator Mark Lawrenson predicting a 2-1 Everton win, while former striker Chris Sutton and Arsenal midfielder Paul Merson forecast a 1-1 draw. Sky Sports commentator Knows Jones is the only pundit predicting a Chelsea win, at 2-3.

Head-to-Head Record

  • December 13, 2025: Chelsea 2-0 Everton
  • April 26, 2025: Chelsea 1-0 Everton
  • December 22, 2024: Everton 0-0 Chelsea
  • April 15, 2024: Chelsea 6-0 Everton
  • December 10, 2023: Everton 2-0 Chelsea
  • March 18, 2023: Chelsea 2-2 Everton
  • August 6, 2022: Everton 0-1 Chelsea
  • May 1, 2022: Everton 1-0 Chelsea
  • December 16, 2021: Chelsea 1-1 Everton
  • March 8, 2021: Chelsea 2-0 Everton

Betting Odds

The match odds have remained relatively stable, with Chelsea initially assigned a half-goal handicap. As of today, Chelsea’s odds are fluctuating between 85 and 87, while Everton’s odds remain consistent. Choosing Everton appears to be the safer betting option. A 1-1 draw is the most likely outcome at odds of 7.1 to 1.

Prediction

Everton – Chelsea 1-1

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