A general prediction runs through the corridors of the newly constituted Congress: the legislature, if an investiture finally prospers and there is a government, will be unstable and short. The most optimistic concedetwo years of life. If Feijóo succeeds, he will be at the expense of a large parliamentary bloc -of up to 178 seats- that could embitter his management without pause. If Sánchez succeeds, his mandate will be hostage to the claims of an amalgam of parties, some of them openly in conflict with each other, and he will live on the razor’s edge marked by the independence movement.
The possibilities that the socialist leader has to gather votes to carry out the investiture are, in principle, greater than those of the popular, but also very expensive.
To take the first step, he must be appointed by the King, who must ensure certain possibilities of having sufficient support and, for this, he must first obtain the approval of ERC and JxCAT, who demand guarantees of an amnesty horizon for all from the outset. those indicted for the secessionist attempt on 1-O. Amnesty is not contemplated in the Constitution which, however, does prohibit a figure of lesser scope such as the general pardon.
Despite this, the so-called progressive bloc that Sánchez intends to cement could try. Since Thursday, when Congress was constituted, a deputy with the signature of fourteen others is empowered to register an amnesty bill. The Government could not do it via a bill because it is in office, but the deputies have no obstacles.
From that record, the Board with the majority of PSOE-Sumar would qualify it and a period of 30 days would be opened for the Executive to give or not conformity to the proposal. If after that time it is not expressly ruled against, the proposal would be able to be included in the agenda of the Plenary for its consideration and, subsequently, follow the ordinary processing of the laws.