Trump Eyes Cuba as Next Target Following Actions Against Iran and Venezuela

As the United States under the Trump administration intensifies its foreign policy actions against perceived adversaries, Cuba is emerging as a potential next target. This comes on the heels of recent U.S. And Israeli military actions against Iran and a move that led to the Venezuelan president appearing in a New York City courtroom . The possibility of a shift in U.S. Policy towards Cuba is raising concerns in Havana, particularly given the existing pressures from the U.S. .

A Pattern of Intervention

The Trump administration appears to be pursuing a strategy of confronting governments deemed hostile to U.S. Interests. The actions against Iran, motivated by concerns over its nuclear program and regional influence , and Venezuela, where the president now faces legal proceedings in the U.S., set a precedent that has focused attention on Cuba. According to one administration official, President Trump feels “on a roll” and believes this approach is “working” .

“Friendly Takeover” and Diplomatic Maneuvering

President Trump has publicly discussed the possibility of a “friendly takeover” of Cuba, an island nation of 11 million people . Secretary of State Marco Rubio is reportedly engaged in high-level discussions with Cuban leaders to explore potential agreements . Unofficial contacts are likewise being made with Raúl Guillermo Rodriguez Castro, the grandson of former Cuban President Raúl Castro .

Economic Weakness as a Factor

The Trump administration is emphasizing Cuba’s economic difficulties, citing a lack of resources like oil and money . The belief is that the post-Castro Cuban regime is inherently weak and may not be able to withstand external pressure or internal dissent.

Potential Risks and Challenges

A move against Cuba is not without risks. A destabilized Cuba could lead to a surge in refugees seeking entry into the United States, a concern for an administration focused on controlling immigration. The lack of a strong, organized opposition within Cuba after decades of repressive rule complicates any potential intervention .

Broader Regional Context

Iran, Cuba, Haiti, Venezuela, Myanmar, Afghanistan, and other nations are facing increased scrutiny from the U.S., with potential expansion of travel bans amid heightened security concerns . Cuba has been under a U.S. Embargo since 1962 and is also on Washington’s list of countries supporting terrorism, a designation it shares with Iran . Iran and Cuba have been actively working to strengthen ties and counter U.S. Sanctions .