US Tariffs & Middle East Conflict: Risks to Latvian Exports & Economy

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US Tariffs Face Legal Challenges and Global Economic Concerns

The Trump administration’s recent reinstatement of tariffs, following a Supreme Court decision limiting presidential authority to impose such duties, is facing legal challenges from multiple states and businesses. Simultaneously, rising energy prices, spurred by conflict in the Middle East, are raising concerns about a potential slowdown in European economic recovery – a key export market for the US.

Legal Battles Over Section 122 Tariffs

In the wake of the Supreme Court’s ruling in Learning Resources, Inc. V. Trump, which determined that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not authorize the President to impose tariffs during a national emergency, the administration quickly moved to implement across-the-board 10% tariffs under a different statute – Section 122 tariffs. This action has triggered lawsuits challenging its legality.

On March 5, twenty-two states, along with the Democratic governors of Kentucky and Pennsylvania, filed a lawsuit, Oregon v. Trump, in the Court of International Trade (CIT). Two private plaintiffs, Burlap & Barrel, Inc., and Basic Fun, Inc., filed a similar lawsuit in the CIT on March 9.

The Court of International Trade has sole jurisdiction over these cases, as unanimously affirmed by the Supreme Court in Learning Resources. Cases heard by the CIT involving constitutional issues or having broad implications for customs law are typically heard by a three-judge panel.

Constitutional Authority and Congressional Delegation

The U.S. Constitution vests the power to lay and collect tariffs with Congress (Article I, Section 8). Historically, Congress maintained tight control over tariff policy. However, over time, authority has been delegated to the President, beginning with the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act of 1934. Subsequent acts, like the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and the Trade Act of 1974, further expanded this delegated authority, particularly concerning national security and unfair trade practices.

Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 allows the President to impose tariffs if imports threaten national security, but this power is subject to specific findings and processes. The Supreme Court has consistently maintained that any delegation of congressional power must include an “intelligible principle” to guide the President’s actions.

Economic Concerns: Rising Energy Prices and Inflation

The reinstatement of tariffs coincides with a period of rising oil and liquefied natural gas prices, driven by conflict in the Middle East. This poses a threat to the economic recovery in Europe, a significant export destination for the United States. The most immediate impact is seen in increased fuel prices, leading to higher transportation costs.

Higher energy prices are also increasing production costs for energy-intensive industries, such as chemicals, cement, mineral products, and metal processing. The cost of fertilizers is also rising due to the Middle East situation. Prolonged high energy prices will likely translate into increased costs for other goods and services, fueling inflation and reducing consumer purchasing power.

Recent Tariff Revenue

Data indicates that the U.S. Collected $287 billion in customs duties, taxes, and fees in 2025, a 192% increase from the previous year.

The Trump administration argues that tariffs restore fairness to global trade, encourage U.S. Investment, and generate government revenue. However, the economic impact of these tariffs, and who ultimately bears the cost, remains a subject of debate.

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