June home sales disappoint as prices reach an all-time high

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Existing home sales fell 2.4% in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.09 million units, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). While sales dipped amid high mortgage rates and record-high home prices, the market remains supported by consistent job growth. The median existing-home price reached $440,600, marking a new record high.

Market Activity and Buyer Sensitivity

The decline in June sales reflects the cooling effect of elevated mortgage rates on potential buyers. According to Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR, the monthly volatility in sales data highlights how sensitive the housing market is to shifting affordability conditions. Because the June data represents closed sales, it reflects contracts largely signed in May, a period when 30-year fixed mortgage rates were trending upward.

Despite the monthly pullback, total sales in June were 2.8% higher than in the same month of the previous year. Yun noted that the broader labor market continues to provide a buffer for the industry, with the U.S. economy adding more than half a million jobs since the start of the year.

Inventory Constraints and Price Records

Housing supply remains a primary driver of price appreciation. At the end of June, total housing inventory stood at 1.56 million units. While this is a 1.3% increase compared to June 2025, it represents a 0.6% decrease from May.

472: The Job Market and a Housing Shortage of 4 Million | NAR Chief Economist, Lawrence Yun

At the current sales pace, this inventory level translates to a 4.6-month supply. A six-month supply is traditionally considered the threshold for a balanced market between buyers and sellers. Because the market remains lean, competition for available properties continues to push prices upward. The median price of an existing home reached $440,600 in June, the highest level ever recorded by the association.

Sales Trends by Price Point

The market continues to show a divergence based on property value. Higher-end homes are driving the bulk of sales activity, while the entry-level segment remains constrained by limited inventory.

  • Homes priced above $1 million: Sales volume increased 18% compared to the previous year.
  • Homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million: Sales rose nearly 14% year-over-year.
  • Homes priced between $100,000 and $250,000: Sales grew by less than 1%.
  • Homes priced below $100,000: Sales decreased 1.7% compared to the prior year.

Regionally, sales declined on a month-over-month basis across most of the country, with the Northeast serving as the only exception where activity remained stable.

Buyer Demographics and Financing

The composition of buyers shifted slightly in June. All-cash transactions accounted for one-quarter of all sales, a decrease from the 29% share recorded during the same period last year. Meanwhile, first-time homebuyers represented 33% of the market in June, an increase from 30% a year ago.

The NAR emphasizes that long-term affordability remains at risk if inventory growth remains stagnant. Without a consistent influx of new supply, analysts expect price acceleration to continue, further limiting the pool of potential homeowners.

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