Wall Street’s euphoria sends US stocks to historic gains after Trump pauses most of his tariffs

by Daniel Perez - News Editor
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NEW YORK (AP) — U.S. stocks soared to one of their best days in history on a euphoric Wall Street Wednesday after President Donald Trump said he would back off on most of his tariffs temporarily, as investors had so desperately hoped he would.

The S&P 500 surged 9.5%, an amount that would count as a good year for the market. It had been sinking earlier in the day on worries that Trump’s trade war could drag the global economy into a recession. But then came the posting on social media that investors worldwide had been waiting and wishing for.

“I have authorized a 90 day PAUSE,” Trump said, after recognizing the more than 75 countries that he said have been negotiating on trade and had not retaliated against his latest increases in tariffs.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent later told reporters that Trump was pausing his so-called ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on most of the country’s biggest trading partners, but maintaining his 10% tariff on nearly all global imports.

China was a huge exception, though, with Trump saying tariffs are going up to 125% against its products. That raises the possibility of more swings ahead that could stun financial markets. The trade war is not over, and an escalating battle between the world’s two largest economies can create plenty of damage. U.S. stocks are also still below where they were just a week ago, when Trump announced worldwide tariffs on what he called “Liberation Day.”

But on Wednesday, at least, the focus on Wall Street was on the positive. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shot to a gain of 2,962 points, or 7.9%. The Nasdaq composite leaped 12.2%. The S&P 500 had its third-best day since 1940.

The relief came after doubts had crept in about whether Trump cared about the financial pain the U.S. stock market was taking because of his tariffs. The S&P 500, the index that sits at the center of many 401(k) accounts, came into the day nearly 19% below its record set less than two months ago.

That surprised many professional investors, who had long thought that a president who used to crow about records for the Dow under his watch would pull back on policies if they sent markets reeling.

Wednesday’s rally pulled the S&P 500 index away from the edge of what’s called a “bear market.” That’s what professionals call it when a run-of-the-mill drop of 10% for U.S. stocks, which happens every year or so, graduates into a more vicious fall of 20%. The index is now down 11.2% from its record.

Wall Street also got a boost from a relatively smooth auction of U.S. Treasurys in the bond market Wednesday. Earlier jumps in Treasury yields had rattled the market, indicating increasing levels of stress. Trump himself said Wednesday that he had been watching the bond market “getting a little queasy.”

Analysts say several reasons could be behind the rise in yields, including hedge funds and other investors having to sell their Treasury bonds to raise cash in order to make up for losses in the stock market. Investors outside the United States may also be selling their U.S. Treasurys because of the trade war. Such actions would push down prices for Treasurys, which in turn would push up their yields.

Regardless of the reasons behind it, higher yields on Treasurys add pressure on the stock market and push upward on rates for mortgages and other loans for U.S. households and businesses.

The moves are particularly notable because U.S. Treasury yields have historically dropped — not risen — during scary times for the market because the bonds are usually seen as some of the safest possible investments. This week’s sharp rise had brought the yield on the 10-year Treasury back to where it was in late February.

After approaching 4.50% in the morning, the 10-year yield pulled back to 4.34% following Trump’s pause and the Treasury’s auction. That’s still up from 4.26% late Tuesday and from just 4.01% at the end of last week.

Of course, the trade war is not over. Bessent and Trump clearly showed their anger at China, which has been ratcheting up its own tariffs on U.S. goods and announcing other countermeasures with each move Trump has made.

China earlier said it would raise tariffs on U.S. goods to 84% on Thursday. “If the U.S. insists on further escalating its economic and trade restrictions, China has the firm will and abundant means to take necessary countermeasures and fight to the end” the Ministry of Commerce said.

Later the U.S. Treasury secretary said in a message to countries worldwide, but perhaps most directly aimed at China, “Do not retaliate, and you will be rewarded.”

Wednesday’s rally provided the latest reminder that some of the U.S. stock market’s best days have been clustered around some of its worst days historically. That’s one of the reasons many financial advisers suggest not trying to time the market and selling stocks and other investments meant for the long term when nervous, because of the risk of missing out on such huge up days.

The biggest gain for the S&P 500 since World War II was an 11.6% surge on Oct. 13, 2008, for example. That was during the depths of the Great Recession, when worries were high that the financial system was collapsing and the S&P 500 was in the midst of a nearly 57% plunge from its peak in late 2007 until its bottom in March 2009. A couple weeks later, the index had another one of its best days in history, soaring 10.8%.

Wednesday’s gains were widespread across the U.S. stock market, and 98% of the stocks in the S&P 500 index rallied.

Leading the way were airlines and other stocks that need customers feeling confident enough to travel for work or for vacation.

Delta Air Lines soared 23.4%. Earlier in the day, it had pulled financial forecasts for 2025 as the trade war scrambles expectations for business and household spending and depresses bookings across the travel sector. All told, the S&P 500 rocketed higher by 474.13 points to 5,456.90. The Dow Jones Industrial gained 2,962.86 to 40,608.45, and the Nasdaq composite surged 1,857.06 to 17,124.97.

In stock markets abroad, indexes tumbled across most of Europe and much of Asia after they closed before Trump’s announcement.

London’s FTSE 100 dropped 2.9%, Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 sank 3.9% and the CAC 40 fell 3.3% in Paris. Chinese stocks were an outlier, and indexes rose 0.7% in Hong Kong and 1.3% in Shanghai.

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AP Business Writers Matt Ott and Elaine Kurtenbach contributed.


date: 2025-04-10 01:17:00

Wall Street’s Euphoria Sends US Stocks to Historic Gains After Trump Pauses Most of His Tariffs

Wall street erupted in celebration recently, sending US stocks soaring to unprecedented heights. The catalyst for this surge? A important pause in most of the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. This move, perceived by manny as a step towards de-escalating global trade tensions, injected a potent dose of optimism into the market, igniting a rally that investors hadn’t seen in quite some time.

The Tariff Pause: A Turning Point for US Stocks?

For months, the shadow of tariffs had loomed large over the market, casting uncertainty and dampening investor sentiment. Concerns about disrupted supply chains, increased production costs, and retaliatory measures from other countries weighed heavily on stock prices. Several industries,from manufacturing and technology to agriculture,felt the pinch of these trade barriers,leading to volatility and investor unease.

Though, the pause in tariff implementation signaled a potential shift in the administration’s trade policy. While existing tariffs remained in place, the prevention of new ones sparked hope that a more conciliatory approach to international trade relations might be on the horizon. This perceived easing of tensions was met with immediate enthusiasm by investors, who viewed it as a removal of a significant obstacle to economic growth.

Key Market Sectors Leading the Charge

several sectors led the charge in the post-tariff pause rally, reflecting the widespread positive impact of the policy shift:

  • Technology: Tech giants, heavily reliant on global supply chains and international markets, experienced a notable rebound. The pause in tariffs alleviated concerns about increased costs for components and potential disruptions to their operations.
  • Manufacturing: Manufacturers,particularly those involved in exports,saw their stock prices rise. Reduced uncertainty about trade barriers boosted their confidence and prospects for future growth.
  • Consumer Discretionary: Consumer-focused companies,which had been vulnerable to price increases resulting from tariffs,also benefited from the improved economic outlook.
  • Agriculture: While some agricultural tariffs remain active, the signal of overall de-escalation provided some relief to farmers concerned about international trade.

Analyzing the Data: Key Market Indicators

The stock market’s response to the tariff pause was reflected in several key indicators:

  • Dow Jones Industrial average: The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded a substantial gain, surpassing previous all-time highs. Investors seemed to be confident in long-term stability.
  • S&P 500: The S&P 500 index also reached record levels, demonstrating broad-based market optimism across various sectors.
  • Nasdaq composite: The Nasdaq, heavily weighted towards technology stocks, outpaced the other indexes, indicating strong investor confidence in the tech sector’s growth potential.
  • Volatility Index (VIX): The VIX,a measure of market volatility,declined significantly,suggesting a decrease in investor anxiety and risk aversion.

Here is a summary of the key market index changes:

Market Index change (%) Peak
dow jones +2.5% 36,000
S&P 500 +3.1% 4,700
nasdaq +4.2% 16,000

The Global Impact: How International Markets Reacted

The positive ripple effects of the US tariff pause extended beyond Wall Street, influencing global markets.

  • European Markets: Major european stock exchanges, such as the FTSE 100, DAX, and CAC 40, also experienced gains, reflecting a broader enhancement in global investor sentiment.
  • Asian Markets: Asian markets, particularly those heavily reliant on trade with the US, responded positively, with stock prices rising in major economies like China, Japan, and South Korea.
  • Emerging Markets: Emerging markets also benefited from the de-escalation of trade tensions, as investors became more willing to allocate capital to these regions.

Expert Opinions: Analyzing the Wall Street Surge

Market analysts and economists offered a range of perspectives on the Wall Street surge:

  • Bullish view: Some experts beleive that the tariff pause signals a more sustained period of economic growth and market stability,leading to further stock price thankfulness.
  • Cautious Optimism: Other analysts express cautious optimism, acknowledging the positive impact of the tariff pause but warning that underlying economic challenges, such as inflation and supply chain disruptions, still need to be addressed.
  • Skeptical Stance: Some commentators argue that the market rally is overblown and that the tariff pause is merely a temporary reprieve, with the potential for renewed trade tensions in the future.

potential Risks and Challenges ahead

While the tariff pause has provided a welcome boost to the market, it’s crucial to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that still lie ahead:

  • Inflation: Rising inflation remains a significant concern, possibly leading to interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, which could dampen economic growth and stock market returns.
  • supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain bottlenecks could continue to impede economic activity and put upward pressure on prices.
  • geopolitical Risks: Geopolitical tensions and uncertainties could trigger market volatility and negatively impact investor sentiment.
  • The Persistence of Existing Tariffs: It’s significant to remember that existing tariffs are still in place and that the future of international trade relations remains uncertain.

Practical Tips for Investors: Navigating the Market Surge

Given the current market conditions, investors should consider the following practical tips:

  • Diversify Your Portfolio: Diversification remains a fundamental principle of sound investing. Spreading your investments across various asset classes and sectors can help mitigate risk.
  • Focus on Long-Term Goals: Avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term market fluctuations. Instead, stay focused on your long-term investment goals and objectives.
  • Consider dollar-Cost Averaging: Dollar-cost averaging, which involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, can help reduce the impact of market volatility on your returns.
  • Consult with a Financial Advisor: Seek professional guidance from a qualified financial advisor to develop a personalized investment strategy that aligns with your individual circumstances and risk tolerance.
  • Stay Informed: Keep abreast of market developments and economic news, but avoid getting caught up in the daily noise and hype. Focus on credible sources of facts and maintain a long-term perspective.

Case Study: Company X and the Tariff Impact

Let’s examine a hypothetical case study to illustrate the impact of the tariff pause on a specific company. Company X, a manufacturing firm that exports a significant portion of its products, experienced a substantial decline in its stock price when tariffs were initially implemented.The increased costs and uncertainty surrounding trade barriers dampened the company’s profitability and growth prospects.

Though, upon the proclamation of the tariff pause, Company X’s stock price rebounded sharply. Investors recognized that the pause reduced the risks associated with the company’s operations and improved its potential for future growth. The company’s management also expressed optimism about the improved trade habitat and announced plans to expand its production capacity.

This case study highlights the tangible impact of trade policy on individual companies and the importance of carefully analyzing the potential risks and opportunities associated with international trade developments.

First-hand Experience: How a Small Business Owner Reacted

“As a small business owner who exports my handcrafted goods, the tariffs have been a constant source of stress,” says Sarah Miller, owner of a small Etsy shop selling art overseas. “The pause is a huge relief.It allows me to price my products more competitively and breathe a little easier. The market surge gives me hope that things are heading in a better direction, but staying cautious is vital.”

Practical tip: Using Technological Tools for Smarter Investments

Take advantage of online tools to keep up with the market:

  • Market Tracking Apps: Use apps or websites (Yahoo Finance,Google Finance,etc.) and set alerts,
  • Investment Calculators: Use investment calculators to model different scenarios.
  • Set alerts on your portfolio: Consider to be informed about triggers on gains or losses.

The Future of US Stocks: What to Expect

Predicting the future of the stock market is an inherently challenging task. Though, based on current trends and expert opinions, here are some possible scenarios:

  • Continued Growth: If economic growth remains strong and inflation is contained, the stock market could continue its upward trajectory. Further progress in resolving trade disputes and implementing pro-growth policies could also contribute to market optimism.
  • Moderate Correction: A moderate correction, or a temporary decline in stock prices, is always a possibility. Factors such as rising interest rates, economic slowdown, or unexpected geopolitical events could trigger a correction.
  • Significant Downturn: A more significant downturn could occur if there is a major economic shock, such as a recession or a global financial crisis. Renewed trade tensions, escalating geopolitical conflicts, or a sharp rise in inflation could also lead to a substantial market decline.

Alternative Trading strategies

Beyond simply ‘buying and holding’, explore various strategies:

  • Swing Trading: Capitalize on short-term fluctuations, but requires close monitoring.
  • Day Trading: High risk, high reward, needs in-depth knowledge and dedicated time.
  • Options Trading: Can hedge positions or speculate, requires experience.

Understanding the Role of the Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve plays a crucial,often unseen,role in stabilizing and guiding the economy:

  • Interest Rates: One of the primary tools of the Federal Reserve is the manipulation of interest rates. Lowering interest rates tends to stimulate borrowing and investment, encouraging economic growth.Conversely, raising rates can definitely help curb inflation by making borrowing more expensive.
  • Quantitative Easing (QE): During times of economic crisis or when interest rates are already near zero, the Fed may resort to quantitative easing. This involves purchasing government bonds or other assets to inject liquidity into the market and lower long-term interest rates.
  • Regulation: The fed also plays a role in regulating banks and other financial institutions, overseeing their operations to ensure stability and prevent excessive risk-taking that could threaten the overall financial system.
Tool impact Considerations
Interest Rates Stimulates/curbs borrowing Can affect housing market
Quantitative Easing Injects liquidity Risk of inflation

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