Gold Price Prediction: Likely to Correct to IDR 2.84M/Gram in March 2026

by Marcus Liu - Business Editor
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Gold Price Outlook: Forecasts for 2026 and Beyond

Jakarta – Gold prices are currently experiencing volatility, and analysts are offering varied predictions for the remainder of 2026. While a short-term correction is anticipated, long-term forecasts suggest a continued upward trend, potentially reaching significant milestones by the finish of the year.

Short-Term Correction Expected

According to Ibrahim Assuaibi, a money market analyst and Director of PT Laba Forexindo Berjangka, gold prices are likely to experience a correction in the coming week. He predicts a potential dip to IDR 2,840,000 per gram, with a possibility of reaching IDR 2.8 million per gram. VOI

However, Assuaibi notes that a weakening rupiah could counteract this correction, potentially pushing prices back up to IDR 2,920,000 per gram by the end of March 2026, and even IDR 2,980,000 per gram shortly thereafter.

Long-Term Price Projections for 2026

Despite the anticipated short-term fluctuations, the overall outlook for gold prices in 2026 remains bullish. Ibrahim Assuaibi predicts that gold could reach Rp3.5-3.8 million per gram in 2026, assuming the rupiah exchange rate to the American dollar reaches Rp17,500-17,800. VOI This projection is based on the conversion of a potential US$5,500 per troy ounce price. VOI

Another forecast, from Ibrahim Assuaibi, Director of PT Traze Andalan Futures, estimates a price of Rp3.8 million per gram by 2026, contingent on the price reaching Rp2.7 million by the end of 2025. Tempo.co

Factors Influencing Gold Prices

Several key factors are driving the anticipated rise in gold prices. These include:

  • Geopolitical Instability: Ongoing conflicts and tensions in the Middle East and Asia are contributing to market uncertainty. VOI
  • US Political Landscape: Political conditions in the United States and the policies of the Federal Reserve (The Fed) are playing a significant role. Tempo.co
  • Trade Wars: Existing and potential trade disputes are adding to global economic uncertainty. Tempo.co
  • Monetary Policy: Decisions by The Fed regarding interest rates and precious metal purchases are influencing prices. Tempo.co
  • Supply and Demand: Limited supply of precious metals, particularly in Indonesia, coupled with strong domestic demand, is contributing to price increases. Tempo.co

Investment Opportunity

Ibrahim Assuaibi suggests that the current market conditions present a favorable opportunity for investors to purchase gold, as prices have not yet reached the IDR 3 million per gram level. VOI

Disclaimer: This article provides information based on expert forecasts as of March 22, 2026. Gold prices are subject to market fluctuations and investment decisions should be made with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial goals.

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