Trump Decision on Iran: Military Action or Deal in 10 Days? | Oil Prices Rise

by Ibrahim Khalil - World Editor
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Trump Sets Deadline for Iran Nuclear Deal, Raising Fears of Military Conflict

Washington – U.S. President Donald Trump has given Iran a 10- to 15-day window to reach a “meaningful deal” regarding its nuclear program, warning of potential military action if an agreement is not reached. The escalating tensions have prompted a build-up of U.S. Military presence in the Middle East and sent ripples through global oil markets.

Recent Developments and Warnings

Trump’s ultimatum comes after indirect talks between U.S. Envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and Iranian officials in Geneva this week. According to White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, while some progress was made during the talks, Iran did not respond to the restrictions Trump has sought.

“Many reasons and arguments can be position forward for an attack on Iran,” Leavitt stated, highlighting the administration’s willingness to consider military options. Trump himself echoed this sentiment, stating, “So, now we may have to go further, or maybe not. Maybe we will make a deal. You will find out in the next 10 days. It has been proven over the years that it is not easy to make a meaningful deal with Iran. We have to make a meaningful deal. If we don’t, terrible things will happen.”

Military Build-Up and Iranian Response

The U.S. Has been increasing its military presence in the region, with two aircraft carriers – USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald Ford – currently deployed. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards recently conducted military drills in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global oil trade, raising concerns about potential disruptions to energy supplies.

In response to Trump’s warnings, Iran’s ambassador to the United Nations, Amir Saeid Iravani, has warned of a “decisive” response to any U.S. Military aggression. Iravani urged the UN Security Council and Secretary-General Antonio Guterres to condemn Trump’s threats, particularly his mention of using an airfield in the Chagos Islands for a potential attack. He emphasized that Iran does not seek war but will consider “all bases, facilities and assets of the hostile force” as legitimate targets if attacked.

Market Reaction

The heightened tensions have already impacted global oil prices. U.S. Crude oil rose $1.24, or 1.9%, to $66.43 per barrel, while Brent crude increased $1.31, or 1.86%, to $71.66.

Historical Context

Relations between Iran and the United States have been fraught with tension since the 1979 Iranian Revolution. The first Trump administration (2017-2021) marked a significant shift in policy, moving away from the Obama-era nuclear deal.

In February 2026, President Trump warned that Iran’s supreme leader should be “very worried,” as both sides prepared for their first formal talks.

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